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Article #1069

Re: Monty Hall / Shell Game / Dixie Cups

#1069
From: Patrick Juola
Date: Fri, 18 Dec 1992 21:35
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In article <1992Dec18.202554.29968@cs.odu.edu> carr@fog.cs.odu.edu (Eric Carr) writes:
>...But suppose there were, for every time the door was opened, TWO players
>each standing in front of one of the doors. (The third player having already
>been disappointed by being told he/she was the proud owner of a goat.)
>Wouldn't BOTH of these players supposedly statistically benefit from switching,
>if the 2/3 answer were correct?

No.  The other person who would benefit would be the third player who now owns
a goat, since Monty would have opened the door in front of the *other* goat
if he were playing alone.

The players who pick the goats both will benefit, since Monty shows them the
goat that they *didn't* pick, leaving them to switch and get the car.

	- kitten
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!noc.near.net!hri.com!spool.mu.edu!agate!boulder!news
From: juola@bruno.cs.colorado.edu (Patrick Juola)
Newsgroups: alt.folklore.science
Subject: Re: Monty Hall / Shell Game / Dixie Cups
Message-ID: <1992Dec18.213543.18287@colorado.edu>
Date: 18 Dec 92 21:35:43 GMT
References: <9212151514.AA02487@isfrance.encore.fr> <1992Dec18.202554.29968@cs.odu.edu>
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