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Article #185

Re: Golf Odds For Phoenix Open

#185
From: Tim Fierro
Date: Sat, 30 Jan 1999 00:00
115 lines
5439 bytes
Let's put it this way.

According to my statistics, David Duval has a 4/1 chance of winning this
week's tournament.  Again, according to the statistics I keep, Tiger Woods
has a 6/1 chance to win the tournament.

I am not saying I am posting these odds so someone can bet with me, the odds
are only for informational purposes.

Mr. Las Vegas bookmaker says he will take bets on David Duval and pay 10/1.
That's fine, if you want to bet with a bookmaker and you like the 10/1 odds,
then go for it.

Actually the posted odds in Las Vegas at the Stardust is David Duval 9/2 and
Tiger Woods was 6/1.

I am guessing they also have some statistics they keep and have also done
some calculations to post their odds.  Where I post odds relative to the
field and post whatever the result, 18/1 or similar, a bookmaker may have
odds posted at 20/1 or even 30/1 or whatever.  It does not matter.

What good are the odds sheet I post?  Based on statistics, if David Duval is
4/1 by my odds, and a bookmaker has odds posted at 50/1, then take the 50/1
as you know by calculations (paper) it looks like a good bet.  When you see
Tiger Woods posted at Stardust at 6/1 odds, and my statistical odds show up
as 6/1 also, then maybe this would not be a bad bet also.

It is up to the individual if they gamble on these events and to get odds at
whatever casino/bookmaker they want.  Anyone can use my golf odds sheet to
compare what statistical the odds are of a player winning the tournament,
and compare that with what a bookmaker is actually accepting bets at.

Does the above make sense now?  So let's drop any association that I may
have with a bookmaker or casino.  I am just an individual who likes to play
with numbers.  I am not associated with any gambling affiliation.  Just a
guy with a notion to mix my hobby of golf, computers, and numbers into fun.
I am not accepting bets or posting odds that I will accept.  I am not a
bookmaker. <g>


Tim


--
Tim Fierro - timfierro@golfstockmarket.com
GSM: Golf Stock Market - Fantasy Golf 24 Hrs A Day / 7 Days A Wk
http://www.golfstockmarket.com

Glenn Baron wrote in message <01be4cb5$30bc7040$5d6845c2@default>...
>No. Sorry. You're making no sense.
>
>Your odds, in your terms, should be *better* than you'd find at a
>bookmaker. In fact they are much much worse .
>Why should we go to a commercial bookmaker rather than you?
>
>Please explain.
>
>
>
>Tim Fierro <timfierro@golfstockmarket.com> wrote in article
><78vpr7$dro$1@oak.prod.itd.earthlink.net>...
>> No doubt.  Nobody would.
>>
>> The odds are what each player should do against the field, it is not an
>> indication of what you will find at a bookmaker.
>>
>> Tim
>>
>>
>> --
>> Tim Fierro - timfierro@golfstockmarket.com
>> GSM: Golf Stock Market - Fantasy Golf 24 Hrs A Day / 7 Days A Wk
>> http://www.golfstockmarket.com
>>
>> Alise Kabakoff wrote in message ...
>> >Anyone who makes a wager on any of those golfers at any of the posted
>odds
>> >needs to have their head examined.
>> >
>> >Tim Fierro wrote in message <78nfm5$8c7$1@ash.prod.itd.earthlink.net>...
>> >>Here are the current odds for this weeks Phoenix Open.
>> >>
>> >>http://www.golfstockmarket.com/golfodds.html
>> >>
>> >>The Golf Stock Market has the complete odds, here are the top 10.
>> >>
>> >>Symbol Odds Golfer Name
>> >>DUVADAVI 4:1 David Duval
>> >>ESTEBOB  5:1 Bob Estes
>> >>TRIPKIRK 5:1 Kirk Triplett
>> >>SINGVIJA 5:1 Vijay Singh
>> >>WOODTIGE 6:1 Tiger Woods
>> >>VERPSCOT 6:1 Scott Verplank
>> >>MAYFBILL 7:1 Billy Mayfair
>> >>STEWPAYN 7:1 Payne Stewart
>> >>MCCASCOT 7:1 Scott McCarron
>> >>GOYDPAUL 8:1 Paul Goydos
>> >>
>> >>Tim Fierro
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>--
>> >>Tim Fierro - timfierro@golfstockmarket.com
>> >>GSM: Golf Stock Market - Fantasy Golf 24 Hrs A Day / 7 Days A Wk
>> >>http://www.golfstockmarket.com
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >
>> >
>>
>>
>>
>>
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From: "Tim Fierro" <timfierro@golfstockmarket.com>
Subject: Re: Golf Odds For Phoenix Open
Date: 1999/01/30
Message-ID: <790fas$6d0$1@birch.prod.itd.earthlink.net>
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