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Article #187

Re: Golf Odds For Phoenix Open

#187
From: Crispin Roche
Date: Sun, 31 Jan 1999 00:00
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Well after 3 rounds of the Phoenix open your top 10 currently stand at
Symbol Odds Golfer Name
DUVADAVI 4:1 David Duval    tied 10th
ESTEBOB  5:1 Bob Estes      tied 21st
TRIPKIRK 5:1 Kirk Triplett       tied 34th
SINGVIJA 5:1 Vijay Singh     not in cut
WOODTIGE 6:1 Tiger Woods   2nd
VERPSCOT 6:1 Scott Verplank   tied 34th
MAYFBILL 7:1 Billy Mayfair     not in cut
STEWPAYN 7:1 Payne Stewart     tied 40th
MCCASCOT 7:1 Scott McCarron    tied 40th
GOYDPAUL 8:1 Paul Goydos      tied 50th

would this be a good "result" for your stats? or do your top 10s more
closely match the tournment results.  (I know the tourney hasn't finished
yet).

Actually that has just made me think of another question by your top 10 do
you mean most likely to win?  or a prediction of the top 10 places?


Crispin Roche
Tim Fierro wrote in message <790fas$6d0$1@birch.prod.itd.earthlink.net>...
>Let's put it this way.
>
>According to my statistics, David Duval has a 4/1 chance of winning this
>week's tournament.  Again, according to the statistics I keep, Tiger Woods
>has a 6/1 chance to win the tournament.
>
>I am not saying I am posting these odds so someone can bet with me, the
odds
>are only for informational purposes.
>
>Mr. Las Vegas bookmaker says he will take bets on David Duval and pay 10/1.
>That's fine, if you want to bet with a bookmaker and you like the 10/1
odds,
>then go for it.
>
>Actually the posted odds in Las Vegas at the Stardust is David Duval 9/2
and
>Tiger Woods was 6/1.
>
>I am guessing they also have some statistics they keep and have also done
>some calculations to post their odds.  Where I post odds relative to the
>field and post whatever the result, 18/1 or similar, a bookmaker may have
>odds posted at 20/1 or even 30/1 or whatever.  It does not matter.
>
>What good are the odds sheet I post?  Based on statistics, if David Duval
is
>4/1 by my odds, and a bookmaker has odds posted at 50/1, then take the 50/1
>as you know by calculations (paper) it looks like a good bet.  When you see
>Tiger Woods posted at Stardust at 6/1 odds, and my statistical odds show up
>as 6/1 also, then maybe this would not be a bad bet also.
>
>It is up to the individual if they gamble on these events and to get odds
at
>whatever casino/bookmaker they want.  Anyone can use my golf odds sheet to
>compare what statistical the odds are of a player winning the tournament,
>and compare that with what a bookmaker is actually accepting bets at.
>
>Does the above make sense now?  So let's drop any association that I may
>have with a bookmaker or casino.  I am just an individual who likes to play
>with numbers.  I am not associated with any gambling affiliation.  Just a
>guy with a notion to mix my hobby of golf, computers, and numbers into fun.
>I am not accepting bets or posting odds that I will accept.  I am not a
>bookmaker. <g>
>
>
>Tim
>
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From: "Crispin Roche" <croche@clara.co.uk>
Subject: Re: Golf Odds For Phoenix Open
Date: 1999/01/31
Message-ID: <TpZs2.616$yv4.361@nnrp2.clara.net>
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