Article View: alt.gambling
Article #187Re: Golf Odds For Phoenix Open
From: Crispin Roche
Date: Sun, 31 Jan 1999 00:00
Date: Sun, 31 Jan 1999 00:00
70 lines
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4433 bytes
Well after 3 rounds of the Phoenix open your top 10 currently stand at Symbol Odds Golfer Name DUVADAVI 4:1 David Duval tied 10th ESTEBOB 5:1 Bob Estes tied 21st TRIPKIRK 5:1 Kirk Triplett tied 34th SINGVIJA 5:1 Vijay Singh not in cut WOODTIGE 6:1 Tiger Woods 2nd VERPSCOT 6:1 Scott Verplank tied 34th MAYFBILL 7:1 Billy Mayfair not in cut STEWPAYN 7:1 Payne Stewart tied 40th MCCASCOT 7:1 Scott McCarron tied 40th GOYDPAUL 8:1 Paul Goydos tied 50th would this be a good "result" for your stats? or do your top 10s more closely match the tournment results. (I know the tourney hasn't finished yet). Actually that has just made me think of another question by your top 10 do you mean most likely to win? or a prediction of the top 10 places? Crispin Roche Tim Fierro wrote in message <790fas$6d0$1@birch.prod.itd.earthlink.net>... >Let's put it this way. > >According to my statistics, David Duval has a 4/1 chance of winning this >week's tournament. Again, according to the statistics I keep, Tiger Woods >has a 6/1 chance to win the tournament. > >I am not saying I am posting these odds so someone can bet with me, the odds >are only for informational purposes. > >Mr. Las Vegas bookmaker says he will take bets on David Duval and pay 10/1. >That's fine, if you want to bet with a bookmaker and you like the 10/1 odds, >then go for it. > >Actually the posted odds in Las Vegas at the Stardust is David Duval 9/2 and >Tiger Woods was 6/1. > >I am guessing they also have some statistics they keep and have also done >some calculations to post their odds. Where I post odds relative to the >field and post whatever the result, 18/1 or similar, a bookmaker may have >odds posted at 20/1 or even 30/1 or whatever. It does not matter. > >What good are the odds sheet I post? Based on statistics, if David Duval is >4/1 by my odds, and a bookmaker has odds posted at 50/1, then take the 50/1 >as you know by calculations (paper) it looks like a good bet. When you see >Tiger Woods posted at Stardust at 6/1 odds, and my statistical odds show up >as 6/1 also, then maybe this would not be a bad bet also. > >It is up to the individual if they gamble on these events and to get odds at >whatever casino/bookmaker they want. Anyone can use my golf odds sheet to >compare what statistical the odds are of a player winning the tournament, >and compare that with what a bookmaker is actually accepting bets at. > >Does the above make sense now? So let's drop any association that I may >have with a bookmaker or casino. I am just an individual who likes to play >with numbers. I am not associated with any gambling affiliation. Just a >guy with a notion to mix my hobby of golf, computers, and numbers into fun. >I am not accepting bets or posting odds that I will accept. I am not a >bookmaker. <g> > > >Tim >
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: 108ef0,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid108ef0,public X-Google-Thread: 10be22,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid10be22,public X-Google-Thread: 1067fb,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid1067fb,public X-Google-Thread: fbd22,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gidfbd22,public X-Google-Thread: 100fd6,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid100fd6,public X-Google-Thread: 10d8aa,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid10d8aa,public X-Google-Thread: 114e63,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid114e63,public X-Google-Thread: 10cb2b,f4b66085f1db6398 X-Google-Attributes: gid10cb2b,public From: "Crispin Roche" <croche@clara.co.uk> Subject: Re: Golf Odds For Phoenix Open Date: 1999/01/31 Message-ID: <TpZs2.616$yv4.361@nnrp2.clara.net> X-Deja-AN: 439035178 References: <78nfm5$8c7$1@ash.prod.itd.earthlink.net> <Oc2XChBT#GA.261@upnetnews03> <78vpr7$dro$1@oak.prod.itd.earthlink.net> <01be4cb5$30bc7040$5d6845c2@default> <790fas$6d0$1@birch.prod.itd.earthlink.net> X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 X-Complaints-To: abuse@clara.net X-Trace: nnrp2.clara.net 917791475 195.8.75.166 (Sun, 31 Jan 1999 14:04:35 BST) NNTP-Posting-Date: Sun, 31 Jan 1999 14:04:35 BST Newsgroups: alt.gambling,alt.games.sports-leagues,alt.las-vegas.gambling,alt.net.and.modem.games,fj.rec.sports.golf,rec.gambling.misc,rec.gambling.other-games,rec.gambling.sports,rec.sport.golf,uk.rec.gambling.misc