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Article #64Re: MCCALL VICTIMS CLICK HERE
From: John M Damaschke
Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:00
Date: Tue, 17 Nov 1998 00:00
75 lines
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5273 bytes
Interesting. Here is how the system works: IT DOESN'T. period, no question about it. in roulette, or any almost even game, each bet is independent. In McCall's system the assumption is, that after a hit in the first dozen, a second hit is less likely. That is wrong (unless the wheel is off). Joseph's system seems to be based on winning and loosing streaks. These don't really exist. Again, after having 5 winning hands in a row, it is NOT more likely to get another one. The trick about a 50/50 chance is, however, that there always be 'streaks', just because the even/odd combination eoeoeo is just as likely as eeeeee or oooooo. Try it out by flipping a coin. Flip a coin 6 times in a row. record what you get. Do that 10 times, 50 times, or even 100 times. See what you get. Most likely the result won't break even. Make sure to differentiate between eeeeeo and eeeeoe and so on. That explains why you're more likely to have 1 'o' in the 5 'e' than 6 'e'. However, after 5 'e', it doesn't mean an 'o' is more likely! *************************************************************** So, how does the system work for someone selling it? That's easy: Sell the system to a faithful customer. As mentioned above, he's not very likely to break even. A number of people will win, the others will lose. Since it's a casino game, the casino makes most the money, but still a number of people will double their bankroll, the majority won't. Now, the sales person has two options: * Take the money and run. It works, you made money! Most people won't go through a lot of hassle to get their money back. In the long run, you might get in trouble (McCall?) * Give a refund, no questions asked. Write a nice letter with it, that you're really sorry it didn't work for him. But hey, you still get to keep the money from the people who won (the lucky ones), and the people who couldn't get bothered to ask for a refund. ******************************************** So, here's my system (free of charge): - Take all the money you want to gamble, place it on one bet. If you win, you will double your bankroll. If you lose, I'm sorry. If you use this system in a casino and win, please send me 10% of the money you made (that's fair isn't it? You still made 90%!) :) If I was a business man, I would sell this as a proven system, since on your first bet, you're much more likely to win than on the other ones. This is because the casino wants your business, and wants you to gamble more. (sounds good, doesn't it? But I just made this up.) Then I would get all the money from the lucky players, without doing anything. Now, the truth: Casino's have an edge, only a few % in general (0.5 - 5%, dependent on game and sometimes skills), this edge applies every time you bet money, so they less bets you have out, the better for you. Therefore, above system is indeed the best possible system, since your bet is on the table only once. If you place small bets, you win some, you lose some, the winning ones you'll put back on the table, and every time you'll lose a few percent of it (statistically). So, if fact, the so far unbeaten system still is a savings account! For good info, check out www.GameMasterOnline Those guys are really good. There you can also learn how to count cards. This can work. However, it's hard work, and if you want to make about $10/h, you need a bankroll of at least a few $1000, and if you're really good, you are a bit more likely to double that,than to lose it all. If you can afford to blow $1000, you'll probably have a job which pays more than $10/h. In any case, it's fun if you're a gambler! Otherwise, if you include air fare, hotel costs, and consider that out of 8 hours running around in casinos looking for a good game without being disclosed as a counter you might spend only a few actually making money, think back about the savings account. Take care, and keep your money to yourself! -John
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: 100839,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gid100839,public X-Google-Thread: 10be22,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gid10be22,public X-Google-Thread: 1067fb,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gid1067fb,public X-Google-Thread: f578d,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gidf578d,public X-Google-Thread: 10d8aa,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gid10d8aa,public X-Google-Thread: 114e63,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gid114e63,public X-Google-Thread: 115e44,c42d6e1536cea55a X-Google-Attributes: gid115e44,public From: John M Damaschke <jm-d@gmx.net> Subject: Re: MCCALL VICTIMS CLICK HERE Date: 1998/11/17 Message-ID: <36520E7B.4007A2E6@gmx.net> X-Deja-AN: 412954931 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit References: <364F566F.4455@telusplanet.net> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii X-Complaints-To: abuse@UVic.CA X-Trace: uvaix7e1.comp.UVic.CA 911347476 154096 142.104.114.133 (18 Nov 1998 00:04:36 GMT) Organization: Glucose Mix eXploder Mime-Version: 1.0 NNTP-Posting-Date: 18 Nov 1998 00:04:36 GMT Newsgroups: alt.gambling,rec.gambling.other-games,rec.gambling.craps,alt.las-vegas.gambling,rec.gambling.misc,alt.lotto.players,biz.entrepreneurs