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Article #64

Re: Scenario of comet hitting Earth

#64
From: Erik Max Francis
Date: Wed, 04 Nov 1992 18:16
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black@breeze.rsre.mod.uk (John Black) writes:

> What are the chances of the comet's orbit to be change significantly so that 
> the close approach or impact doesn't happen. More specifically, what is the 
> affect of outgassing or gravitaional interaction with a giant planet?

From what I understand, the outgassing is what _causes_ the possibility 
of hitting the Earth (non-gravitational disturbances make the orbit hard 
to predict, and it's _possible_ that it might hit the Earth).  We won't 
be able to revise the probabilities (has anyone gotten the "official" 
chances of it hitting the Earth?) until it is on approach.  I'm of the 
opinion that we'll have plenty of time to deflect it if it's determined 
to be a significant threat, as long as we get our butts in gear.

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From: max@west.darkside.com (Erik Max Francis)
Newsgroups: alt.sci.planetary,sci.astro,sci.space
Subject: Re:         Scenario of comet hitting Earth
Message-ID: <NL9PTB7w165w@west.darkside.com>
Date: 4 Nov 92 18:16:11 GMT
References: <Bx4vFI.86E@breeze.rsre.mod.uk>
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