Re: avoiding a bad slam

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Article #96

#96

From: Robin Walters
Date: Thu, 15 Jul 1999 00:00

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Alex Martelli wrote:

> > SOUTH (dealer)
> > Qxx
> > 10xx
> > QJ
> > AKQ10x
> >
> > NORTH
> > KJx
> > AJ8xxx
> > AK
> > Jx
> >
> [after RKCB]...slam cannot be better than
> 50%, but can easily be worse, all the way down to 0% as her[e], and so it
> should not be bid anyway).

Not quite 0% surely?  Allow for a non-spade lead (maybe 33% as hearts are a
no-no),
then cash HA felling singleton honour (approx 25%), then run the clubs ditching
the spades
(needs a 5-1 break with long clubs with the Hxx in hearts - ??% (small)).  My
guess is
that it comes to around 1% or so.

Robin Walters

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From: Robin Walters <r.g.walters@sheffield.ac.uk>
Subject: Re: avoiding a bad slam
Date: 1999/07/15
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