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2 total messages Started by DonH Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:56
Superstorm Sandy, not anthropogenic?
#875
Author: DonH
Date: Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:56
15 lines
2354 bytes
Well, that's according to Kininmonth and Carter in "The Age" (8/11).  Phew!
   So, folks, we can relax, it was just another natural disaster, though why 
NOW is a moot question - and not long after Katrina.
   Still, the frequency and occurrence of seemingly extreme and erratic 
weather events is not due to AGW, thus CO2, even if seven billion humans 
pouring chimney smoke into the air may have SOME impact, you'd think.
   After all, hot air rises, steam adds to clouds, dust particles seed 
clouds, and you get rain, hail, snow, and hurricanes, etc - and dams which 
are nicely filled.
   Prior to 1800 AD, humans were too few in number, and technology too 
primitive, to have any impact on anything much.  Nature could cope.
   But today, we need not be too modest, and eliminating The Human Factor 
from the Ecology Equation is not so easy.
   Place it safe, and sign up to Kyoto 2?
   Or, She'll be right, mate, and just build up the levee banks? 
Re: Superstorm Sandy, not anthropogenic?
#876
Author: Frank O'Connor
Date: Thu, 08 Nov 2012 23:17
39 lines
3478 bytes
Well, I gave up taking anything either of those two said seriously years ago.

I mean, we have two venerable blokes, way way way past their research 
prime, neither of whom specialised in the science that matters, that 
are paid by the American Heartland Institute (reportedly a stipend of 
$1667 per month), one of whom was a bureaucrat rather than a scientist 
for the majority of his working life, both of whom have been venting 
their OPINIONS in the face of (overwhelming) majority evidence based 
and peer reviewed research for the last decade or so … and Fairfax (God 
love 'em) gives them (equal?) space … I'd hate to think Fairfax took 
them seriously … to vent some more.

That said, definitively attributing specific meteorological events to 
any cause is bad science at best, and hokum at worst. All that can 
reasonably be said is that an accumulation of conditions contributed to 
same, and that a hurricane travelling that far North with the energy it 
maintained was statistically unlikely unless other factors than 'the 
usual' could be taken into account.

And those other factors might include Global Warming …      :)
----
On 2012-11-08 20:56:38 +0000, DonH said:

> Well, that's according to Kininmonth and Carter in "The Age" (8/11).  Phew!
>    So, folks, we can relax, it was just another natural disaster, 
> though why NOW is a moot question - and not long after Katrina.
>    Still, the frequency and occurrence of seemingly extreme and erratic 
> weather events is not due to AGW, thus CO2, even if seven billion 
> humans pouring chimney smoke into the air may have SOME impact, you'd 
> think.
>    After all, hot air rises, steam adds to clouds, dust particles seed 
> clouds, and you get rain, hail, snow, and hurricanes, etc - and dams 
> which are nicely filled.
>    Prior to 1800 AD, humans were too few in number, and technology too 
> primitive, to have any impact on anything much.  Nature could cope.
>    But today, we need not be too modest, and eliminating The Human 
> Factor from the Ecology Equation is not so easy.
>    Place it safe, and sign up to Kyoto 2?
>    Or, She'll be right, mate, and just build up the levee banks?
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