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Started by DonH
Thu, 01 Dec 2011 18:30
Causal Conditional
Author: DonH
Date: Thu, 01 Dec 2011 18:30
Date: Thu, 01 Dec 2011 18:30
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2159 bytes
Philosophy has a Material Conditional, which has a Truth Table of dubious
merit; one example given being that IF you hold up a guinea pig by its tail,
its eyes will fall out. The antecedent cannot be tested (no tail), but that
doesn't necessarily falsify the consequent.
Be that as it may, the Conditional which Science is mostly concerned about
is the Causal, which deals with Events, but only after eliminating the
Irrelevant, the Subsequent, to get to the real Consequent.
If an Event (Y) occurs, what was the Cause (X)?
This is investigated, thus: (See J.S. Mill)
(1) If X is always present when Y is present, then X may be the/a cause of
Y.
(2) If X is present, but Y is absent, then X cannot be cause of Y.
(3) If X is absent, but Y is present, then X cannot be cause of Y.
(4) If both are absent, then look elsewhere.
To which we may add-
(5) If X varies when Y varies, then there may be a causal link.
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