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Article #152Re: Will Bay Area pricing ever drop?
From: Hugh Bonney
Date: Wed, 22 Mar 2000 00:00
Date: Wed, 22 Mar 2000 00:00
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Matt Ackeret <mattack@vax.area.com> wrote: : We need some 20 story apartment buildings... Well, land use is more a political decision than an economic one. And, in most of the cities in the area, land use is being managed to maintain single-family house suburbia and maximize the house real estate values. Real-estate is not really a free market until things crunch. It's a good guess that typical homeowners on the peninsula couldn't afford the house they are living in now. When renters realize their clout at the ballot box, and a large enough percentage of renters is eligible to vote, more apartments will materialize fairly quickly. It's fun listening to people who have suddenly got the preserve the ecology bug when they are just trying to manage their real- estate values.... Of course, they are in a bind. The houses have cost them so much that they often have nearly no other savings which is like putting all your money into one stock. One suspects that the peninsula will become relatively urbanized very quickly at some point which is what the economics wants to do. It's reality that the Federal Government has chosen to double the population of the US within the working lifetime of a grade-school kid today. Just as it as it has doubled within my working lifetime already. The US assumption of a home for every family dates in modern times from the end of WWII and was subsidized. Home prices in Europe and Japan are higher as are their population densities. One reason Gen-Xer's are usually so quietly embittered here is that they realize they are in for a revolution of lowered expectations.
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From: Hugh Bonney <hbonney@netcom16.netcom.com>
Subject: Re: Will Bay Area pricing ever drop?
Date: 2000/03/22
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