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Article #113Forecast: F3-F5 Tornados to hit (S)E. VA and MD 25-30 Aug. 03 usa
From: M L D 1111
Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:34
Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:34
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3782 bytes
It is forecasted that one or more SEVERE tornado's will appear in SE to E VA and travel possibly on over to MD and will have winds on the order of 158 mph to 300 MPH. The time period for this forecast is: Immediately until 5 days from now (25 Aug - 30 Aug. 03) This forecast is based on an experimental hypothesis supported by some data. The information at hand is that this/these tornado's will reach F4 and will more than likely be multiple F5's. As shown in the scale below these F5's cause incredible damage. Boaters should restrict useage on the Chesapeake Bay during this periond of time if the weather starts to turn in favor of this forecast. If this /these tornado's do appear then significant damage can be expected along with a large list of casualties (and possibly fatalities). (Ref: F3- F5 tornado scale): The Fujita Tornado Scale Maximum Wind Speeds Equivalent Saffir-Simpson Scale* Typical Effects F3 Category Tornado 158-206 mph (137-179 kt) Cat 5 Severe Tornado. Severe damage: Roofs and some walls torn off well-constructed houses; trains overturned; most trees in forests uprooted; heavy cars lifted off the ground and thrown; weak pavement blown off roads. F4 Category Tornado 207-260 mph (180-226 kt) Cat 5? Devastating Tornado. Devastating damage: Well constructed homes leveled; structures with weak foundations blown off some distance; cars thrown and disintegrated; large missiles generated; trees in forest uprooted and carried some distance away. F5 Category Tornado 261-318 mph (227-276 kt) NA Incredible Tornado. Incredible damage: Strong frame houses lifted off foundations and carried considerable distance to disintegrate; automobile-sized missiles fly through the air in excess of 300 ft (100 m); trees debarked; incredible phenomena will occur. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- F0 Category Tornado 40-72 mph (35-62 kt) NA Gale Tornado. Light Damage: Some damage to chimneys; breaks twigs and branches off tress; pushes over shallow-rooted trees; damages signboards; some windows broken; hurricane wind speed begins at 73 mph. F1 Category Tornado 73-112 mph (63-97 kt) Cat 1/2/3 Moderate Tornado. Moderate damage: Peels surfaces off roofs; mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned; outbuildings demolished; moving autos pushed off the roads; trees snapped or broken. F2 Category Tornado 113-157 mph (98-136 kt) Cat 3/4/5 Significant Tornado. Considerable damage: Roofs torn off frame houses; mobile homes demolished; frame houses with weak foundations lifted and moved; boxcars pushed over; large trees snapped or uprooted; light-object missiles generated. Disclaimer: Not responsible for the use of misuse of this experimental data. Use at your own risk. No liability expressed or implied. The odds of this forecast coming true is about 33%.
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: 1093dc,2c1c742fe39e6831,start X-Google-Attributes: gid1093dc,public X-Google-ArrivalTime: 2003-08-25 01:35:24 PST Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!archiver1.google.com!news1.google.com!sn-xit-02!sn-xit-06!sn-xit-05!sn-xit-08!supernews.com!news-out.visi.com!petbe.visi.com!in.100proofnews.com!in.100proofnews.com!cycny01.gnilink.net!cyclone1.gnilink.net!ngpeer.news.aol.com!audrey-m2.news.aol.com!not-for-mail Lines: 72 X-Admin: news@aol.com From: mld1111@aol.comnetorg (M L D 1111) Newsgroups: bit.listserv.wx-chase Date: 25 Aug 2003 08:34:57 GMT Organization: AOL http://www.aol.com Subject: Forecast: F3-F5 Tornados to hit (S)E. VA and MD 25-30 Aug. 03 usa Message-ID: <20030825043457.06062.00000316@mb-m19.aol.com>