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Article #56

La Nina = Active Season?

#56
From: Steve Sponsler
Date: Tue, 26 Jan 1999 00:00
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Just A thought To muse over during this down time
(unless you like to chase Snowflakes in SoCAL:-)!)

Was looking back over some old posts from last summer (and thinking about
discussions held on
the "chase" road last season)...and recalled that there was,  off and on,
some discussion
alluding to the "fact" that a La Nina  potentially could correlate to an
'active' chase season in the Plains.

Haven't heard much...if anything at all...about this since about July here
on WXCHASE.

I feel the recent events can be attributed to La Nina given the 'general'
higher latitudinal jet stream pattern  ...hence..a very 'early in the year'
clash of the forces..the same could be attributed to El Nino last year..on
the opposite end of the spectrum (that is... much further south).

SO..that said...is there any speculation amongst the knowledgeable
meso-masses towards an expected-elevated level of severe activity in the
Southern and Central Plains in the month of May (or the fore-so-proclaimed
chase season?), not withstanding the recent activities?!

I've  heard little about the correlation...since last fall...if I had to
make a choice between chasing in advance for  four (4) 'choice chase' days
in April vs. making one of the conferences coming up...I'd opt for the
former (feeling confident enough that something of the extraordinary will
occur during the preliminary season)...

Any thoughts, facts, musings, etc?

"Shear Intensity "High Speed Dirt"
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            * @@-* 'moo'
                @*
                V
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http://www.brevard.net/~vortex2/chasing.htm
http://www.brevard.net/~vortex2/svrflwx.htm
http://www.brevard.net/~vortex2/flwx1.htm
http://www.brevard.net/~vortex2/twists.htm
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From: Steve Sponsler <vortex2@BREVARD.NET>
Subject: La Nina = Active Season?
Date: 1999/01/26
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