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Article #10656Re: rotten apples; control of logical conditions
From: bleach
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 1995 23:58
Date: Fri, 03 Mar 1995 23:58
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1980 bytes
<[Bill Leach 950303.18:40 EST(EDT)] >[Bill Powers (950303.0945 MST)] >Bill Leach will no doubt support this observation; forgetting to cover >all logical possibilities is a pitfall of electronic logic design. >Whichever condition you forgot to provide for is almost certain to be >the next one that occurs. Extensive person experience with this 'phenomenon' has enabled me to further refine the relevent law (name escapes me just now). The problem has been of course, the "almost" part. For perfect predictive capability one only needs to know one additional item of information about the 'system' and that is the 'surprise factor'. If the surprise factor is greater than 1500 units, one can drop the "almost" entirely. If the engineers' surprise factor can be held below 100 units the uncovered possibility will not occur -- ever. Infact, studies to test this have shown that even when test conditions are established such that the uncovered possiblity is the ONLY possible outcome it still won't occur. Further research on surprise factor in the range between 100 and 1500 is needed to remove the remaining ambiguity. -bill
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Subject: Re: rotten apples; control of logical conditions
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