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Article #197

Re: Kyoto Treaty May Cost 22,000 Lives Per Year

#197
From: Max Beran
Date: Sun, 04 Oct 1998 00:00
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Richard Vialls

You display a trait that is very common among the "radical concerned"; a
diminished ability to distinguish a proper level of response to risks that
we know exist from those that we do not know if they exist. And when I say
"know", I really mean "know", not just "suspect" or "fear".

For example, when we design a structure like a bridge, its basic properties
are governed by a known set of risks - risks - wind, traffic load, ravages
of time. We incorporate the unknowable risks within a factor of safety that
is added to the basic. We rightly would not  act as if the unknowable risks
were knowable and incorporate them explicitly in the design. That way, it is
true, no bridge would ever fall down, but on the other hand we would not
have the funds to build many bridges.

I trust the analogies with the subject matter of this thread are clear.

Max Beran

Richard Vialls wrote in message ...
>
>I personally believe we have to take climate change
>very seriously indeed - at least while we do more to find out what is
>really going on.
>
>As for the cost of implementing Kyoto, I believe that more money can be
>found for environmental change than you suggest. ........ To say
>that we can't afford environmental improvements today is to push that
>cost onto tommorow - with inflation.
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From: "Max Beran" <max@oldboot.demon.co.uk>
Subject: Re: Kyoto Treaty May Cost 22,000 Lives Per Year
Date: 1998/10/04
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