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Article #211Re: Kyoto Treaty May Cost 22,000 Lives Per Year
From: Andrew Russell
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:00
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 1998 00:00
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Richard Vialls wrote: > >I forget the exact figures now, I did the maths a year or two back, but >the system is *extremely* sensitive to change. IIRC an increase of 0.1% >in the carbon content of the atmosphere could result in something like a >0.5 degree raise in global temperatures - about what we're seeing so >far. That might well be true for a .1% increase in the carbon content of the atmosphere, but it appears you do not understand the difference between % and ppm. 1% is 1000 ppm. Current CO2 concentration is about 350 ppm (.035%). Worst case projections by the IPCC is for a doubling of that in the next 100 years. That would bring it up to 650 to 700 ppm CO2 (.07%). To increase the current CO2 concentration by 1000 ppm is far, far beyond any of even the most pessimistic scientific projections. As John McCarty puts it, "He who refuses to do arithmetic is doomed to talk nonsense." Andrew Russell arussell@bix.com
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: 10c480,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gid10c480,public X-Google-Thread: 110f21,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gid110f21,public X-Google-Thread: 10607c,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gid10607c,public X-Google-Thread: 104eff,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gid104eff,public X-Google-Thread: fb58e,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gidfb58e,public X-Google-Thread: 10df74,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gid10df74,public X-Google-Thread: 105030,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gid105030,public X-Google-Thread: fd92c,6b88b5a6e9832f1e X-Google-Attributes: gidfd92c,public From: Andrew Russell <arussell@BIX.com> Subject: Re: Kyoto Treaty May Cost 22,000 Lives Per Year Date: 1998/10/12 Message-ID: <6vu4aa$iss@lotho.delphi.com> X-Deja-AN: 400428615 References: <JbHCfRASXOG2EwQl@blakcat.demon.co.uk> Organization: BIX Newsgroups: ca.environment,aus.environment.misc,talk.environment,sci.environment,uk.environment,alt.politics.economics,ca.politics,ca.news