Article View: ca.environment
Article #214Re: Urgent Issues Far More Serious than Emissions!
From: Michael Tobis
Date: Wed, 07 Jan 1998 00:00
Date: Wed, 07 Jan 1998 00:00
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Hugh Davies (huge@axalotl_nospam.demon_nospam.co.uk) wrote:
: In article <685phe$5og@james.freenet.hamilton.on.ca>, af329@james.freenet.hamilton.on.ca (Scott Nudds) writes:
: > They most certianly are. Even the most ardent of skeptics have
: >admitted that the globe is observed to be warming.
: Have they? The vast majority of honest scientists admit that they're
: not sure.
Nope. A few years ago, you could find a majority who were not sure
that the *observed* warming could be unambiguously *attributed* to
human effects. Even this is old news.
The attribution issue is generally considered resolved to order
zero - the observed changes match the model predictions too well to
be likely to be coincidental. There is still some room for debate on
the *proportion* of the observed warming that is caused by human
action. Note that this proportion could be *over* 100% if superimposed
on a natural cooling. It's probably the majority position that a human
effect has been observed - the IPCC reports pretty much sum up the
median position of relevant scientists. It's essentially unanimous
that warming is observed and that human activity has the potential
to alter climate.
: > I doubt if you can find more than a handfull of scientists who
: >disbelieve the observation that the globe is warming.
: I doubt if you can find more than a handfull of scientists who
: believe the observation that the globe is warming, either.
This is simply false.
Serious readers are referred to:
Climate change 1995 : the science of climate change / edited by
J.T. Houghton ... [et al.] ; production editor, J.A. Lakeman. --
Cambridge ; New York, NY, USA : Cambridge University Press, 1996.
ISBN 0 521 56433 6 hard cover ISBN 0 521 56436 0 paper.
mt
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: fb58e,2b81b36985e56b4c X-Google-Attributes: gidfb58e,public X-Google-Thread: 10df74,2b81b36985e56b4c X-Google-Attributes: gid10df74,public X-Google-Thread: 104eff,46c9e2a546dbeae1,start X-Google-Attributes: gid104eff,public X-Google-Thread: 10c480,2b81b36985e56b4c X-Google-Attributes: gid10c480,public X-Google-Thread: 10607c,2b81b36985e56b4c X-Google-Attributes: gid10607c,public X-Google-Thread: fd92c,2b81b36985e56b4c X-Google-Attributes: gidfd92c,public From: tobis@scram.ssec.wisc.edu (Michael Tobis) Subject: Re: Urgent Issues Far More Serious than Emissions! Date: 1998/01/07 Message-ID: <6910l9$qd2@spool.cs.wisc.edu> X-Deja-AN: 313752052 References: <685phe$5og@james.freenet.hamilton.on.ca> <68aefg$5m0@axalotl.demon.co.uk> Followup-To: ca.environment,sci.environment,talk.environment,uk.environment,aus.environment.misc,ca.politics Organization: Space Science and Engineering Center, UW - Madison Newsgroups: ca.environment,sci.environment,talk.environment,uk.environment,aus.environment.misc,ca.politics