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Article #6406

Re: Quote Julian Simon

#6406
From: jw
Date: Sun, 19 Nov 1995 00:00
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In <48kge6$51v@dorsai.dorsai.org> amadsen@news.dorsai.org (Alan Madsen)
writes: 
>
>Jonah Paul Mainwaring (mainwarj@rice.edu) wrote:
>: Yuri Kuchinsky (bg364@torfree.net) wrote:
>: >technological progress can continue just fine with one tenth of the

>: >current world population.
>:
>: Please provide a source for that. 
>
>"ultimately, then, the key constraint is human imagination acting
>together with educated skills." j.simon, the ultimate resource
>(princton,nj: princton univ. press, 1981) 222
>
>claims of ingenuity as sufficient (and claimed proven so due to
historical
>demonstration) without first proving other elements constant or
irrelevant 
>are simply that, claims...

For proofs, one should naturally consider the whole study,
not a one-line quote.

>claims are useful, but not something one wants to bet humanity's
wellbeing
>on...

But theoretical claims that have been put to the test of
making falsifiable predictions, and have come out of
it with flying colors, can be accepted at least as
working assumptions. This is the case with Simon's claims.

The claims of those who made the opposite theoretical
assumptions (such as the Club of Rome, Paul Ehrlich,
Lester Brown) have *also* been put to the test -
and failed completely. Not merely wrt *dates* - the change
was in the opposite *direction* from that predicted!

The choice, then, is easy.
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From: jwas@ix.netcom.com (jw )
Subject: Re: Quote Julian Simon
Date: 1995/11/19
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