Re: 60 MILLION Californians by 2040 (can anyone stop this madness?)

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#798

From: Robert Cote
Date: Thu, 27 Oct 2005 16:07

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In article <5ut1m19s76h67kkec8qa2jmg5s3d7ulve9@4ax.com>,
 Jerry Rioux <jerry_rioux@hotmail.com> wrote:

> 60 million people in California by 2040 - I don't think so!
> 
> The official projection by the California Department of Finance is
> only 51,538,596 by 2040.

And they've been aggressively ratcheting those projections down with 
every update for at least the last three years.  The biggest change is 
in discovering the error of forward projecting fertility.

Non-Hispanic Whites: 1.62
Hispanic White: 2.80

Turns out that second number is only first generation fertility and does 
not compound.  More: 
http://www.dof.ca.gov/HTML/DEMOGRAP/DRU_Publications/Projections/P1.htm

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From: Robert Cote <tsch@adlph.net>
Newsgroups: ca.environment,ca.politics,ca.driving,alt.planning.urban
Subject: Re: 60 MILLION Californians by 2040 (can anyone stop this madness?)
Organization: Techscan
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