Re: 60 MILLION Californians by 2040 (can anyone stop this madness?)

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#800

From: Jerry Rioux
Date: Fri, 28 Oct 2005 02:43

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Yes, they have.  The state has started to trend its fertility
assumptiosn for minority groups to merge with the white and asian
rates.  I expect the projections to continue dropping for awhile.

On Thu, 27 Oct 2005 09:07:46 -0700, Robert Cote <tsch@adlph.net>
wrote:

>In article <5ut1m19s76h67kkec8qa2jmg5s3d7ulve9@4ax.com>,
> Jerry Rioux <jerry_rioux@hotmail.com> wrote:
>
>> 60 million people in California by 2040 - I don't think so!
>> 
>> The official projection by the California Department of Finance is
>> only 51,538,596 by 2040.
>
>And they've been aggressively ratcheting those projections down with 
>every update for at least the last three years.  The biggest change is 
>in discovering the error of forward projecting fertility.
>
>Non-Hispanic Whites: 1.62
>Hispanic White: 2.80
>
>Turns out that second number is only first generation fertility and does 
>not compound.  More: 
>http://www.dof.ca.gov/HTML/DEMOGRAP/DRU_Publications/Projections/P1.htm

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From: Jerry Rioux <jerry_rioux@hotmail.com>
Newsgroups: ca.environment,ca.politics,ca.driving,alt.planning.urban
Subject: Re: 60 MILLION Californians by 2040 (can anyone stop this madness?)
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