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Article #22450

Re: Rain

#22450
From: James N. Price
Date: Fri, 14 Feb 1992 18:52
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I made my initial remark about 70% of chance of rain = "rain 70%
of the time" on the E. Coast with tongue in cheek.  However I
have appreciated the insights gained about what the % chance
means.  I did not know that it was derived from an historic
database.  I assumed, not being a meteorologist, that percentages
were based on what had been going on the past 24 hours, what the
satellite photos showed, etc.  Here in S. Calif, our winter storms
generally come from north to south, and usually fizzle out about
the time they get to San Diego (evidence this past week).  And I
suppose it is harder to predict over-water approaches of weather
than over-land ones.  Still, I'm relatively under-whelmed with the
"accuracy" of rainfall predictions here.  I know, all it takes is
money....

--Jim
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Message-ID: <3637@cod.NOSC.MIL>
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!spool.mu.edu!agate!dog.ee.lbl.gov!nosc!cod!price
References: <3636@cod.NOSC.MIL> <lr6k4iw@Unify.Com> <181262@ipl.jpl.nasa.gov>

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X-Google-Thread: 106ed4,e67c709e18588222
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X-Google-ArrivalTime: 1992-02-14 22:37:44 PST
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!spool.mu.edu!agate!dog.ee.lbl.gov!nosc!cod!price
From: price@cod.NOSC.MIL (James N. Price)
Newsgroups: ca.general
Subject: Re: Rain
Message-ID: <3637@cod.NOSC.MIL>
Date: 14 Feb 92 18:52:08 GMT
Article-I.D.: cod.3637
References: <3636@cod.NOSC.MIL> <lr6k4iw@Unify.Com> <181262@ipl.jpl.nasa.gov>
Distribution: ca
Organization: Naval Ocean Systems Center, San Diego
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