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Article #21994Sanity Check, please
From: J Storrs Hall
Date: Tue, 09 Jan 1990 03:57
Date: Tue, 09 Jan 1990 03:57
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1013 bytes
I'd like people's reactions to these predictions on microprocessor
technology by the turn of the century. They are intended to
indicate something on the order of "state of the art but commercially
available", use the "1990" column to guess what level I'm getting at.
("pins" is high but intended to indicate more state of the art;
I really just guessed at memory speeds ca. 1980.)
what 1980 1990 extrapolation 2000
processor
pins 64 256 x4 1k
clock 8MHz 32MHz x4 128MHz
"Devices" 50k 1M x20 20M
mips 1 12 x12 144
memory(dram)
bits/chip 16k 1M x64 64M
speed 240ns 80ns /4 20ns
--JoSH
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<Jan.8.22.57.41.1990.234@klaatu.rutgers.edu>Path:
arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!utzoo!utgpu!jarvis.csri.toronto.edu!mailrus!uwm.edu!cs.utexas.edu!usc!rutgers!aramis.rutgers.edu!klaatu.rutgers.edu!joshShow Full Headers
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!utzoo!utgpu!jarvis.csri.toronto.edu!mailrus!uwm.edu!cs.utexas.edu!usc!rutgers!aramis.rutgers.edu!klaatu.rutgers.edu!josh From: josh@klaatu.rutgers.edu (J Storrs Hall) Newsgroups: comp.arch Subject: Sanity Check, please Message-ID: <Jan.8.22.57.41.1990.234@klaatu.rutgers.edu> Date: 9 Jan 90 03:57:45 GMT Organization: Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, N.J. Lines: 18