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Article #496

Re: NOBODY needs robots !!!

#496
From: Bob
Date: Thu, 22 Dec 2005 12:12
38 lines
2772 bytes
MR Robot wrote:
> 2)second of all robots make our life easier, and
> they save troops.

They have saved troops so far.  But if history is
any guide, it is only a matter of time before any
new weapon is available to both sides.  In the end,
robots may prove more useful to the terrorists/
insurgents.

> it will be at bare minimum thirty years before
> robots will be able to take real jobs,

Hop on a flight to Nagoya, and visit a modern Toyota
automobile factory.  You will see more robots than
people.  Robots are replacing lots of people now.
You will see many more a lot sooner than thirty
years from now.

> and probably forty until they will be affordable

I think you are underestimating the cost reductions
that mass production can deliver.  Some Japanese
companies have built humanoid robots with multi-
million dollar price tags, but that is mostly
non-recurring R&D costs, and says nothing about
what the robot would really cost if thousands,
or millions, were manufactured.

A human scale robot contains a lot less metal and
plastic than a car, and should therefore cost much
less.  The replication cost of the "intelligence"
is near zero.  Once a human can be replaced by a
robot that costs six months of the human's salary,
expect to see a lot more robots.  Most assembly
jobs are already going, construction and service
jobs may go next.  Eventually any job that doesn't
require creativity will be a candidate for automation.
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From: "Bob" <bob3635x@yahoo.com>
Newsgroups: comp.robotics.misc,is.vedur
Subject: Re: NOBODY needs robots !!!
Date: 22 Dec 2005 04:12:49 -0800
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