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Started by Clark L. Coleman
Fri, 13 Nov 1992 15:23
Old Prediction from 1988
Author: Clark L. Coleman
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 15:23
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 15:23
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"Five years from now, we should be at 100 billion gigaFLOPS. A problem that takes three months to do now, we want to do in a day." -- Steve Chen, Time magazine article, March 28, 1988, page 58. I also noted in this issue that the Cray-3 was "due to be released in 1989." 100 billion gigaFLOPS is 100 million teraFLOPS, which sounds very fast to me. "Five years from now" is coming up in a few months. 100 billion GFLOPS sounds ambitious. -- -------------------------------------------------------------------------- "It is seldom that any liberty is lost all at once." David Hume ||| clc5q@virginia.edu (Clark L. Coleman)
Re: Old Prediction from 1988
Author: Daan Sandee
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 16:29
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 16:29
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In article <1992Nov13.152301.20527@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU>, clc5q@uvacs.cs.Virginia.EDU (Clark L. Coleman) writes: |> |> "Five years from now, we should be at 100 billion gigaFLOPS. A problem that |> takes three months to do now, we want to do in a day." |> -- Steve Chen, Time magazine article, March 28, 1988, page 58. |> |> 100 billion gigaFLOPS is 100 million teraFLOPS, which sounds very fast to |> me. "Five years from now" is coming up in a few months. 100 billion GFLOPS |> sounds ambitious. It is safe to assume that Time magazine got confused by the billions of gigaflops. I don't think Chen said that, in the interview. Presumably he said 100 gigaflops and then had to explain to the reporter what that meant. And the reporter, to make the point clear, converted it to "100 billion gigaflops". 100 GFlops for 1993 is about right, by the way. |> I also noted in this issue that the Cray-3 was "due to be released in 1989." In this case, whatever Chen actually said, he was wrong. Daan Sandee sandee@think.com Thinking Machines Corporation Cambridge, Mass 02142 (617) 234-5044
Re: Old Prediction from 1988
Author: Paul Barnett
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 16:46
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 16:46
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In <1e0l5aINNc40@early-bird.think.com> sandee@Think.COM (Daan Sandee) writes: >|> I also noted in this issue that the Cray-3 was "due to be released in 1989." >In this case, whatever Chen actually said, he was wrong. And so were a lot of other people. As early as 1985, the industry was making plans based on this assumption, which presumably originated at Cray. Chen's only mistake was believing it. -- Paul Barnett Internet: barnett@convex.com Convex Computer Corp. Office: 214-497-4846 Richardson, TX Mobile/Home: 214-236-8438
Re: Old Prediction from 1988
Author: Samuel A. Fineberg
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 17:41
Date: Fri, 13 Nov 1992 17:41
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In article <1992Nov13.152301.20527@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU>, clc5q@uvacs.cs.Virginia.EDU (Clark L. Coleman) writes: |> |> "Five years from now, we should be at 100 billion gigaFLOPS. A problem that |> takes three months to do now, we want to do in a day." |> -- Steve Chen, Time magazine article, March 28, 1988, page 58. |> |> I also noted in this issue that the Cray-3 was "due to be released in 1989." |> |> 100 billion gigaFLOPS is 100 million teraFLOPS, which sounds very fast to |> me. "Five years from now" is coming up in a few months. 100 billion GFLOPS |> sounds ambitious. |> |> -- |> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- |> "It is seldom that any liberty is lost all at once." David Hume |> ||| clc5q@virginia.edu (Clark L. Coleman) I think Steve Chen should concentrate on getting his system to run before he starts benchmarking it. Sam
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