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Re: Bill Gray's 2000 seasonal hurricane forecast

#2
From: Sim Aberson
Date: Sat, 11 Dec 1999 00:00
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In article <whodya-0912990723010001@ppp-66-78.dialup.winternet.com>,
Mike Schneider ` <whodya@crow.com> wrote:
>   Caveat: The EN/SO is difficult to predict, and the single largest
>componant of the Dr. Gray's prediction function. Last year at this time,
>it was expected among many quarters that El Nino would redevelop by the
>end of 1999. Instead, strong La Nina condition continue with no sign of
>abatement. Oddly enough, however, the continued La Nina did not result in
>as many Atlantic named storms in 1999 as in 1998, when La Nina was
>actually weaker than this year's La Nina during the critical late-summer
>and early-autumn hurricane season months.

However, 1999 was about as active as 1998.  The correlation is not
necessarily with number of storms but with total activity.
-- 
"The male [in the household] is the one who usually monitors the storm, 
and the female names catch the male's attention."
--Weatherwise Magazine on why hurricanes were given female names (1972)
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From: aberson@panix.com (Sim Aberson)
Subject: Re: Bill Gray's 2000 seasonal hurricane forecast
Date: 1999/12/11
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References: <Pine.LNX.4.10.9912081023370.20378-100000@typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu> <whodya-0912990723010001@ppp-66-78.dialup.winternet.com>
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