Re: Arrest Slow Drivers (n left and fast drivers in right)

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Article #346

#346

From: Rahul Dhesi
Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 00:00

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In <slrn74i8mf.hq.joel-garry@home.com> joel-garry@nospam.home.com (Joel
Garry) writes:

>Yes, I believe he has posted previously that most accidents happen during
>lane changes, confusing correlation with causality, the same confusion
>others make about speed.

The correlation vs causation confusion is often seen on Usenet, but
this is not an example of it.  In fact there *is* a cause-effect
relationship between speed and accident rate, and also between
lane changes and accident rate.  Perhaps what you intended to say
was that speed and lane changes are only indirect causes, not
direct causes, of higher accident rates.

Cigarrette smoking and early death are another example of indirect
causation.  Not every person who smokes will die early, but this doesn't
mean that anybody is confusing between causation and correlation.

Motorists that try to travel faster than the normal flow of traffic will
need to make more lane changes, so the cause-effect chain is really:

   higher speeds cause more lane changes,
   more lane changes cause more accidents

So the cause-effect relationship between more lane changes and
accident rate is more direct (though still indirect).
-- 
Rahul Dhesi <dhesi@spams.r.us.com>
a2i communications, a quality ISP
    "Any idiot can avoid automobile accidents that are his own fault.  It
     takes skill to avoid accidents that are the *other* person's fault."

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From: c.c.eiftj@22.usenet.us.com (Rahul Dhesi)
Subject: Re: Arrest Slow Drivers (n left and fast drivers in right)
Date: 1998/11/11
Message-ID: <72bon3$e35$1@samba.rahul.net>
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References: <359a80d5.54993706@news.v-wave.com> <359a8bf8.15550530@news.okc.oklahoma.net> <6ne8f0$8c0$1@big.aa.net> <359ac584.30283825@news.okc.oklahoma.net> <359B0054.6CB1@pop.removethistomailme.net> <35add847.5964757@news.earthlink.net> <36491ab1.31513994@news.earthlink.net> <71bht9$hjf@dfw-ixnews6.ix.netcom.com> <3639a852.6249285@news.xara.com> <71ceo4$rm7$1@scnews.sc.intel.com> <363A21BF.FD14582@csi.com> <363CB38E.CC340AFE@us.oracle.com> <363CDD1F.C2273028@csi.com> <363d0056.189274784@news.powersurfr.c  <slrn746nkh.e3.joel-garry@home.com> <722f7p$i7l$1@samba.rahul.net> <slrn74f7i8.e4.joel-garry@home.com> <3648F7CA.AB1624D1@prodigy.net> <slrn74i8mf.hq.joel-garry@home.com>
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