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POSSIBLE EARTHQUAKE WARNING
From: E.D.G. Scientific Consultant, edgrsprj@ix.netcom.com
Posted To:  Earthquake And Other Disaster Related Newsgroups
Date And Time Posted:  97/12/16 01:30:00 UTC

Time Window During Which The Earthquake Could Occur:
December 14, 1997 to December 18, 1997

Possible Magnitudes:
5.5 to 6.5  for URBAN areas
6.5 to 7.0  for RURAL areas
7.0 +       for REMOTE areas

Probability That This Earthquake Will Occur:
70%

RECOMMENDATIONS:

Here in the U.S. there are government agencies and disaster
response groups which are prepared to quickly respond to an
earthquake.  But some groups in other countries might not be as
well prepared.  And the following recommendations could be
helpful to them.

1.  GOVERNMENT AGENCIES (only):  I recommend that you begin
watching for this earthquake.  The warning signal which I
detected as an earthquake sensitive on December 14, 1997 was one
of the most intense that I have detected since just before the
January 17, 1995 Kobe, Japan earthquake.  I am attempting to put
together a list of possible locations.  And you can contact me by
e-mail for that list if you wish.  All of my own entries on that
list are for locations outside of the U.S.

2.  EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR MONITORING GROUPS:  You might check your
data for the time period December 7, 1997 through December 14,
1997.  If you see any areas of above normal activity around the
world I would appreciate hearing from you.  The names of
countries or general areas such as the northern part of some
continent would be fine.

3.  DISASTER RESPONSE GROUPS:  You might run a QUICK check on
your state of readiness to respond to an earthquake if one were
to occur in a city near you.  Could your important staff members
be quickly contacted?  How many of your emergency vehicles are
operational?

COMMENTS:

A fair amount of detail has been included with this advisory
because of the moderately high proposed magnitude ranges for this
earthquake.  Copies of this advisory are being sent by e-mail to
different groups around the world.

My earthquake advisories are for earthquakes which may occur
close enough to populated areas to cause damage.  The last
earthquake before which I believe I may have detected a warning
signal was the 5.8 magnitude one (NEIS value) which occurred on
December 11, 1997 in Colombia.  That earthquake was fortunately
deep enough (150 km - NEIS) that there was reportedly only some
building damage.

I believe that as an earthquake sensitive I am able to indirectly
detect certain types of seismic activities etc. which occur
before some earthquakes.  And my advisories represent comparisons
of the latest warning signals which I have detected with previous
signals.  These advisories should not be regarded as true
"predictions."  And, earthquakes do not ALWAYS occur after those
seismic activities etc. are detected.  That is why a probability
value is listed.

Additional recommendations and updates etc. can be found at:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/members/solutions/quakealert.html
(or) http://www.quakenet.org/members/solutions/quakealert.html

Links to other earthquake forecasting Web sites can be found at:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/members/solutions/quakelinks.html
(or) http://www.quakenet.org/members/solutions/quakelinks.html

One objective of the people developing the QuakeNet Web site is
to eventually have a page at that site which can be updated daily
with earthquake forecasting data supplied by different groups.

All of the information in this notice represents expressions of
personal opinion.