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AN EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVITY BASED EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING PROGRAM

TABLE OF CONTENTS: Part 2  (this present part)

1.  The Theory Basis For This Earthquake Forecasting Program
2.  Recommendations For Earthquake Sensitives
3.  Recommendations For Government Officials, Disaster Response
Groups, Scientific Groups, News Service Personnel, And Other
Interested Parties
4.  Web Site Addresses For The Program

From:  E.D.G., Scientific Consultant, edgrsprj@ix.netcom.com
Posted To:  Earthquake Related Newsgroups
Date Posted:  Saturday, August 2, 1997
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       A number of Web site addresses for this forecasting
program can be found at the end of this present notice.  However
the data file which most people will probably be interested in is
a report which contains 11 days worth of earthquake sensitivity
data.  It can be found at:

http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/101report.html

       All of the information in these notices represents
expressions of personal opinion.


INTRODUCTION:  Part 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS: Part 3

5.  Advantages Of This Approach To Forecasting Earthquakes
6.  Limitations Of This Approach To Forecasting Earthquakes
7.  An Earthquake Sensitivity Type Warning Picked Up Just Before
The Catastrophic January 17, 1995 Earthquake In Kobe, Japan
8.  Other Earthquake Forecasting Methods


1.  THE THEORY BASIS FOR THIS EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING PROGRAM

       In the days and weeks before some earthquakes (and
volcanic eruptions), events taking place in an earthquake fault
zone (or near a volcano) cause electromagnetic energy field
fluctuations of different frequencies to occur.  Many living
things including human beings have a natural sensitivity to those
energy field fluctuations.  Perhaps one person in a hundred
thousand is so sensitive to them that he or she will experience
physical or emotional symptoms such as headaches, nausea, or
depression in response to them.

       By collecting information regarding the intensity of the
seismic activity related experiences and symptoms which
earthquake sensitives are having we might be able to determine
several days ahead of time when some earthquakes are going to
occur.

       An Internet based program for collecting and displaying
earthquake sensitivity data is now operational in a "test" phase
at an earth changes related Web site.  People who believe that
they can at times sense the approach of an earthquake (or
volcanic eruption) are invited to use one of several data entry
screens at that site to submit information related to their
experiences to the program.  Their data is stored in a temporary
file.  And at the end of the day it is summarized and stored in
another file which can be examined by people who have access to
the World Wide Web.

       The most important information collected and displayed by
the program may be the first two numbers present in individual
data lines.  Each data line represents a day's worth of
earthquake sensitivity data.  The first number shows how many
people reported detecting seismic activity that day.  The second
shows how many people reported that they DID NOT detect any
seismic activity that day.  In theory, when the first number goes
up and the second goes down for several days in a row a powerful
earthquake may be about to occur somewhere on earth.

2.  RECOMMENDATIONS FOR EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVES

       If you wish to indicate that you are having some type of
seismic activity related experience then you can access either of
the two presently available data entry screens which are listed
at the end of this notice and submit information to the program.
You can indicate your degree of confidence that your experience
is earthquake or volcano related, what you believe the magnitude
of the earthquake may be, and the strength of the symptom which
you are experiencing.  Additionally, if you frequently have these
types of experiences and wish to indicate that you ARE NOT having
them on a particular day then you can submit that information to
the program as well.

       For many people the entire data entry screen access and
data submission process should take less than 30 seconds.  The
data processing program does not include any information
regarding the identity or e-mail address of the person submitting
the data in the files which it displays at the Web site.

3.  RECOMMENDATIONS FOR GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS, DISASTER RESPONSE
GROUPS, SCIENTIFIC GROUPS, NEWS SERVICE PERSONNEL, AND OTHER
INTERESTED PARTIES

       People can access the Web site report previously listed
and see what the program data storage files look like.  Anyone
who wishes to do so can also access either of the data entry
screens and submit data to the program during its "test" phase.
Beginning August 6, 1997 people who wish to do a test run of the
program should select the "Demonstration Run Only" box before
submitting their data.

       Anyone who knows of someone who is earthquake sensitive
might tell that person about the program.  I am particularly
interested in having earthquake sensitives living outside of the
U.S. learn about it.  Earthquake sensitivity data entry screens
and reports in a number of languages may eventually be available
at the Web site for use by people around the world.

       People who wish to do so are invited to collect earthquake
warning information from earthquake sensitives that they know who
do not have access to the World Wide Web, and submit their data
to the program for them.

       Interested parties are also encouraged to print out copies
of these notices and send them to local news services.

       IT MAY BE WEEKS OR MONTHS (OR PERHAPS NEVER) BEFORE ENOUGH
EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVES WILL BEGIN SUBMITTING DATA TO THE PROGRAM
FOR IT TO PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT RESULTS.  And so, interested
parties might wish to simply check the main Web site report once
every few weeks for the next year to see what progress is being
made.

7.  WEB SITE ADDRESSES FOR THE PROGRAM

Report containing 11 days worth of earthquake sensitivity data:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/101report.html

Report containing current day earthquake sensitivity data:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/102report.html

Earthquake sensitivity data entry screen with instructions:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/101dataentry.html

"EXPRESS" data entry screen - no instructions:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/102dataentry.html

Help file with report code explanations and theories for
earthquake sensitivity:
http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/101helpfile.html