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EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING PROGRAMS - REAL AND PROPOSED

From:  E.D.G., Scientific Consultant  edgrsprj@ix.netcom.com
Posted To:  Earthquake Related Newsgroups
Date Posted:  September 22, 1997

A PROPOSED PROGRAM FOR COLLECTING EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR DATA

       A demonstration, proposed Internet based earthquake
forecasting program which would involve the collection,
evaluation, and display of earthquake precursor data (earthquake
warning signals) submitted by governments, scientific groups,
and individuals around the world can be found at:

http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/members/solutions/124sfp.html
(or) http://www.quakenet.org/members/solutions/124sfp.html

       The program would work by showing when greater than usual
numbers of earthquake precursor observations were being reported
from some location.  That would then serve as an indicator that
an earthquake could be about to occur in the area.

       It might be thought of as the Internet based version of a
vast earthquake forecasting program which has reportedly been
running in the People's Republic of China for the past 30 years.
I personally feel that the development of such an Internet based
program would enable us to detect the approach of at least some
deadly earthquakes.

       Such a program might involve the daily collection of tens
and hundreds of thousands of data points submitted from around
the world.  I myself do not have the resources needed to run
such an ambitious program.  But I believe that one could be
easily developed and run by any number of scientific groups or
government agencies.  Insurance agencies which sell earthquake
damage insurance would probably be interested in such a program.

Note:  Your Internet browser needs to be capable of displaying
GIF format files in order for you to examine that complete
proposal.  Most browsers are probably able to do that.

AN OPERATIONAL, EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVITY BASED FORECASTING PROGRAM

       A program for collecting earthquake precursor data
submitted by earthquake sensitives around the world, which has
been running since July of 1997 can be found at:

http://www.webcom.com/quakenet/seismic/101report.html
(or) http://www.quakenet.org/seismic/101report.html

       I presently believe that for that program to work, 20 or
more earthquake sensitives might need to submit data to it on a
regular basis.  At the moment only 2 or 3 are doing that.  With
time I am planning to add additional features to the program and
also circulate information regarding it to different groups.
And I hope that this will result in more earthquake sensitives
submitting data to it.

       One of the advantages of working with earthquake
sensitivity types of data is the fact (in my opinion) that some
earthquake sensitives can detect the approach of earthquakes
which are going to occur anywhere on earth.  I believe that many
existing earthquake forecasting programs are sharply limited
with regard to the amount of geographic area which they are able
to monitor.  Partly as a result of that people living in areas
of the world where governments cannot afford to purchase
expensive monitoring equipment may have NO means at all of
detecting approaching earthquakes.

       Another advantage of working with earthquake sensitivity
types of data is the fact that this type of information is
available AT THIS TIME.  I understand that biophysicist
Christopher Dodge who studied earthquake sensitivity a decade or
two ago here in the U.S. in a research effort known as "Project
Migraine" had more than 125 earthquake sensitives sending him
data.  And that was before Internet access was so widely and
easily available.

EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVITY AND MAP DOWSING

       I compare notes on a regular basis with dozens of
earthquake sensitives here in the U.S.  Quite a few appear to be
able to fairly easily tell when an earthquake is about to occur.
Some can also tell how powerful it is likely to be.  But few
seem to be able to come up with any probable location data.  An
earthquake forecasting program which I am hoping to get
developed would have earthquake sensitives sound the alarm when
powerful earthquakes were approaching.  And they would then use
an information collection procedure known as "map dowsing" to
determine WHERE the earthquake might be about to occur.

EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVITY AND TRIANGULATION

       Some earthquake sensitives can apparently tell in which
direction the signals which they are detecting are coming from.
In theory, if that type of information were collected from
earthquake sensitives at different locations it might be used
with a triangulation procedure to determine where earthquakes
were going to occur.

BIOLOGICAL EARTHQUAKE SENSITIVITY

       There are two other procedures which I believe earthquake
sensitives could use to collect location data.  One which is
sometimes referred to as human biological earthquake sensitivity
involves having the earthquake sensitives evaluate their
physical sensations.  They may be able to determine that pain in
one arm indicates that an earthquake may be about to occur in a
particular location on earth.  Pain in the other arm would
correspond to an earthquake occurring at some other location.

       My theories and those of some other researchers propose
that this phenomenon may be resulting in part from the selective
stimulation of different nerves and areas of the brains and
bodies of people who are unusually sensitive to radio waves
which have certain frequencies and structures.

REMOTE VIEWING

       The second location determination procedure is known as
"remote viewing."  It is my understanding that this
consciousness focusing procedure might be thought of as
involving a person's entering into a type of trance state.  It
has been reported that in the past, U.S. intelligence gathering
agencies at times used remote viewing techniques to collect
information.

       My present theories propose that for a number of fairly
important reasons, the map dowsing procedure mentioned earlier
might be preferable for earthquake sensitives to use for making
location determinations than the biological sensitivity or
remote viewing procedures.

RADIO WAVE MONITORING AND TRIANGULATION

       When earthquake sensitives sounded the alarm, people
monitoring certain frequency radio waves which are believed to
have structures which are indicative of what is taking place in
earthquake fault zones could also attempt to use triangulation
to determine WHERE an earthquake was likely to occur.

       I have discussed this particular approach to collecting
possible approaching earthquake location information with
several individuals or groups which are presently monitoring
those types of radio waves.  Unfortunately, our information
exchanges have been slow to the point of being nonexistent.  And
there is little progress that I am aware of being made in this
area at the moment.

HOW TO CONTACT ME REGARDING THE INFORMATION IN THIS NOTICE

       You should probably do that by e-mail.  I do not read
newsgroup articles on a regular basis and may miss your note if
you post it to a newsgroup without also sending me an e-mail
copy.

       All of the information in this notice represents
expressions of personal opinion.

REGARDING POSSIBLE DUPLICATE NOTICES

       This notice was originally transmitted to a number of
newsgroups on September 19, 1997.  But because of what I believe
may be a software related problem it appears to have been posted
to only the "alt.disasters.misc" newsgroup.  If this is the
second copy of this notice to appear in any other newsgroup then
I would appreciate it if people contacted me and let me know
that.  And I will contact Netcom Internet server technical staff
members and attempt to determine why that happened.