Article View: fl.general
Article #200Re: a note on the real estate bubble
From: arminius
Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 12:21
Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 12:21
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7650 bytes
"arthur wouk" <awouk@blackhole.nyx.net> wrote in message news:1115764822.216356@irys.nyx.net... > and the man guilty of aiding and abetting. > > http://www.prudentbear.com/archive_comm_article.asp?category=Guest+Commentary&content_idx=42815#top_nav1_advisors_contactsa30bd2 > > Guest Commentary, by David J. Taffi > > Destroying the American Dream > > May 7, 2005 > > David Taffi works in Risk Management and Insurance Administration > Services for Taub Associates in the Los Angeles area. > > Well he's done it. I didn't want to believe it, but it's true. > Greenspan of course has transmogrified attractive interest rates of > recent years into outrageously negative real interests for so long > that he has nursed into being a virtual Godzilla of real estate > speculation the likes we have not seen since Og traded a club and > mammoth skin for his friend's cave. Welcome to LA's housing nightmare. > > Well, what exactly did he do? Only destroy the American Dream for > many, that's all. Yes, I know, I can always afford a house in > Oklahoma, provided I can find a job that's one step above the Quickie > Mart. (No offense to Oklahoma, as you have lots of land, or to > Quickie-Mart workers for that matter as your work is more respectable > than counterfeiting.) What I'm talking about are places on the coasts > where a lot of people have no choice but to live and work. > > When Alan and his merry band of counterfeiters pursued a policy of > "making the world safe for speculators" at the expense of working, > middle class, and yes, even upper middle class people (100k a year is > not sufficient income for a first time homebuyer in LA) he destroyed > the value of their savings and returns on their labor. > > The new rules of the game are simply this; "He who speculates first > wins." And those who have assets to begin with are in the best > position to speculate first when the conditions for speculation are > risk free as opposed to those who are just getting started in life and > are scrimping and saving for that 20% down payment, as in the old > days. > > So the rich get richer, and you can finish the sentence. When budding > LA real estate tycoons in the making rapidly piece together, 3, 5, 10 > residential houses at inflated prices, and then raise the rental > rates, as what can happen in a difficult supply-demand situation in > LA, not only does the entire cost structure of the rental market > increase to the detriment of working people, but there are now fewer > available homes for people who just need a place to raise their > families. Result, rewarding speculators at the expense of everyone > else. Great, just great. > > Yes, life is unfair, but for Alan's gang of monetary inflationists, > it's OK as long as it's unfair in your favor. Of course he had lots > of help from his friends. With unlimited amounts of credit, lax > lending standards, and with the loan originators having no moral > hazard to contend with as they dump their real estate paper onto the > back of Alan's credit inflation Godzilla monster, Fannie Mae, the rich > do indeed get richer, as this credit machine moves into hyperspace. > Question: was Fannie Mae created to help lower income households > obtain credit? Just checking. > > Oh, did I forget to mention that easy Al tells us it's very difficult > to know when you have a bubble? > > Well, I can tell you Al, when you have a bubble. You have a bubble, > when you destroy the value of a currency, and subsequently the rate of > return on investment assets goes to zero when your money becomes > worthless. Seems fairly basic. Economics is the science of allocation > of scarce resources. When one commodity, such as a currency, is > unlimited and free, the price of everything else priced in that > currency skyrockets. Hence a bubble. > > Of course, if the goal is to destroy a currency with inflation, then > perhaps there is no bubble, as the asset has simply been re-priced to > reflect its value relative to the depreciated currency. One person's > bubble is another's fair price. The chumps are the ones on the > outside looking in. Yes, it all makes sense to me now. Thick skulled > Og had it right all along. If all my assets were in caves and clubs > and skins as opposed to abundant currency seashells washing up free > for the taking on the seashore, there would be no inflation or > bubble. I'd simply trade one cave for another and I'd be no worse off > for it. In a barter economy, rarely is anyone cheated by the > counterfeiters. A cave is a cave; even our friend Og can spot a fake > cave. > > Did I mention something about changing the rules of the game? No > matter. No matter that the central banker has decided to pick winners > and create losers by changing the rules of the game on an inherently > uneven playing field. No matter that he has destroyed the rates of > return on investment through excess liquidity (monetary inflation) and > destroyed the value of savers money in the process. > > Let's recap; if you're running a fiat currency regime you better make > sure your interest rate bite matches your interest rate bark. > Otherwise, Godzilla is gonna eat you for lunch. > > So, yes, Alan, congratulations by making the world safe for > speculators and enriching the few at the expense of many, by > encouraging the misallocation of capital and punishing savers, by > destroying the returns of labor in relation to the returns of > financial speculation. Yes, Alan, for many, you have destroyed the > American Dream. Go east young man, go east young woman, but not too > far. Be sure to stop somewhere in the middle! > > Opinions expressed are not necessarily those of David W. Tice & > Associates, LLC. The opinions are subject to change, are not > guaranteed and should not be considered recommendations to buy or sell > any security. > -- > getting out of bed in the morning is an act of false confidence > - jules feifer > to email me, delete blackhole. from my return address
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X-Google-Thread: 101eb4,aca166ddb011c296,start X-Google-Thread: 1084c1,aca166ddb011c296,start X-Google-Thread: fca2b,aca166ddb011c296,start X-Google-Thread: 10a942,aca166ddb011c296,start X-Google-Attributes: gid101eb4,gid1084c1,gidfca2b,gid10a942,public X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!g2news1.google.com!news4.google.com!news.glorb.com!border1.nntp.dca.giganews.com!nntp.giganews.com!local01.nntp.dca.giganews.com!nntp.sedona.net!news.sedona.net.POSTED!not-for-mail NNTP-Posting-Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 07:22:33 -0500 Reply-To: "arminius" <richard norton@cybertrails.com> From: "arminius" <richard norton@cybertrails.com> Newsgroups: fl.general,az.general,az.politics,alt.california References: <1115764822.216356@irys.nyx.net> Subject: Re: a note on the real estate bubble Date: Wed, 11 May 2005 07:21:16 -0500 X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2800.1409 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1409 Message-ID: <N7ydnSSKnPmXZBzfRVn-jw@sedona.net> Lines: 118 NNTP-Posting-Host: 162.42.87.136 X-Trace: sv3-xVURhOXxGTUQRCX20TFGz8KviF85XTb4LK01TOm5yv/ENCyKQ/eGAcOeIgIvjATjaKQlyRDYEneyzm6!NedKf2Vw5IOH8PRUULpYa1qrm/W+fJUEtj6q77pnRkXd/ggnZVE3Dq/PwF9JSrQeqKF0FJox X-Complaints-To: abuse@sedona.net X-DMCA-Complaints-To: abuse@sedona.net X-Abuse-and-DMCA-Info: Please be sure to forward a copy of ALL headers X-Abuse-and-DMCA-Info: Otherwise we will be unable to process your complaint properly X-Postfilter: 1.3.32