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Article #2062

Re: CPUs at 30 Ghz in the year 2005

#2062
From: Ed Seedhouse
Date: Sat, 19 May 2001 13:23
33 lines
3089 bytes
ranier venner (venner@streubel.com) wrote:

>On 19 May 2001 05:42:37 GMT, Robert Hyatt <hyatt@crafty.cis.uab.edu>
>wrote:

>>If you think we are going to search 10^50 positions, think again.
>>If you had one trillion years, searching one position per nanosecond,
>>you could search 10^23 positions total.  You are a +long+ way from
>>that final solution.  In fact, you have not really started.  

>exactly robert. compare 10^50 with the age of the universe which is
>10^18 seconds. 

Some of this revolves around people's inability to understand really large
numbers intuitively.  Using scientific notation tends to exacerbate this.
For instance if you say we can evaluate 10^48 out of 10^50 positions this
intuitively looks like you are nearly there, when in fact you are only 1%
of the way there and if it took 100 years to do that you've still got
10,000 years to go!

Obviously when discussing such large numbers scientific notation is the
only practical method, but it still makes 10^50 look like half of 10^100 at
a cursory inspection, where as 10^100  is actually
100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 times
larger than 10^100.

Even just writing all those zeros once took about 5 minutes to get all the
commas right!


Ed Seedhouse
"Seedhouse" on ICC
CFC Rating: 2050
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From: Ed Seedhouse <eseedhouse@home.com>
Newsgroups: gnu.chess,rec.games.chess.analysis,rec.games.chess.computer,rec.games.chess.misc,rec.games.chess.politics
Subject: Re: CPUs at 30 Ghz in the year 2005
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