🚀 go-pugleaf

>Joey Jolley wrote
>>      What will Los Angeles, the San Francisco Bay Area, and other American 
>> cities look like in 20 years and what will be the primary form of 
>> transportation? What will happen to single-family home neighborhoods, 
>> existing businesses, streets, freeways, etc.? 

Fewer people will be working at jobs requiring them to commute to work because 
there will be fewer businesses selling products.  Why?  As the population 
ages, they buy fewer things.  Services will continue to increase, and most of 
those can be done by people who live closer to where they'll be providing the 
services.  Example: a nurse would be able to find a job in a medical center or 
in home care much closer to home than a factory worker would be able to find a 
factory job.  

I don't think sprawl will continue.  I think more people will move to smaller 
communities as they realize that the big cities won't have any more job draw 
than the smaller towns do.  It's probably not any harder to get a 
bartending job in Alturas than it is in LA.  

Also, given the Web and the success of EBay, Amazon, and other selling sites, 
people who do make things will find they can make them anywhere that the 
infrastructure exists for their particular project.  

Detroit is an interesting example: They have hundreds if not thousands of 
blocks where there might be just 1 or two homes occupied.  Detroit can no 
longer afford to provide police, fire, sewer, streetlighting, and other 
services to those areas, so what they're proposing is to mow down entire 
neighborhoods and turn them back into....farmland.  I'm not sure how many 
people would want to farm Detroit, so what I predict is that those lands will 
simply revert to BLM-type management.