Article View: misc.consumers
Article #5126Re: Canadian proof (not) that taxation lowers cigarette consumption
From: Neil Williams
Date: Mon, 11 Jan 1993 21:19
Date: Mon, 11 Jan 1993 21:19
36 lines
2092 bytes
2092 bytes
In article <1is2tvINNmrm@meaddata.meaddata.com> dedek@meaddata.com (Mike Dedek) writes: > >In article <27763@sybase.sybase.com>, joe@sybase.com (Joseph Weinstein) writes: >|> Dean Edell on KGO revealed some data about canadian tobacco consumption, where >|> taxation raised the cost of cigarettes to about $3 a pack. The data show that >|> prior to the tax increase, per capita consumption was equal to the U.S. In the >|> few years since the taxation the consumption rate has dropped by 30%. >|> >This is not proof! This is correlation. Have _all_ other variables remained >constant during the study? For example, were the subjects of the study >exposed to other pressures to quit, such as adverse health information, >inability to smoke in certain environments, etc? > >Since 1900 in the US, personal income tax has increased dramatically >(from 0% to currently 28% or thereabouts). The standard of living has >also increased. Does this prove that increasing personal income tax >causes an increase in the standard of living? If so, we should all lobby >for increased taxes! Here's another one: the higher the crime rate in any given area, the more churches per square foot are likely to be in the area. Conclusion: churches cause crime! :-) This gem from my statistics class way back when they were pounding the correlation vs. causation difference into our heads. --Neil -- Neil Williams: neilw@informix.com Seen on my last trip on United: "If you are seated in an exit row and can not (sic) read this card... please notify a crew member."
Technical Details
Message-ID:
<1993Jan11.211922.13390@informix.com>Path:
arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!gossip.pyramid.com!pyramid!infmx!neilwReferences:
<1993Jan6.181208.10712@merlin.dev.cdx.mot.com> <27763@syba <1is2tvINNmrm@meaddata.meaddata.com>Show Full Headers
Complete Article Headers
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!gossip.pyramid.com!pyramid!infmx!neilw From: neilw@informix.com (Neil Williams) Newsgroups: misc.consumers Subject: Re: Canadian proof (not) that taxation lowers cigarette consumption Message-ID: <1993Jan11.211922.13390@informix.com> Date: 11 Jan 93 21:19:22 GMT References: <1993Jan6.181208.10712@merlin.dev.cdx.mot.com> <27763@syba <1is2tvINNmrm@meaddata.meaddata.com> Sender: news@informix.com (Usenet News) Organization: Informix Software, Inc. Lines: 36