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Article #500

Big Blizzard next Tuesday??????

#500
From: Michael+Schneider
Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 00:00
71 lines
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R E T U R N   O F   T H E   "P A N H A N D L E  H O O K E R" ! ! !


(No, that was not a Clinton joke of some sort, although it certainly could
be very easily made into one.)



Check out the URLs, folx:

Latest NGP model forecast run:


12hr Precipitation and Sea Level Pressures:
http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/fiorino/wxmap/ngp/archive/98021212/ngp.alltau.prp.conus.htm

850mb Temps, Winds, and Relative Humidity.
http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/fiorino/wxmap/ngp/archive/98021212/ngp.alltau.850.conus.htm


Examine the last few charts in each of these. The Precip/SLP last charts
shows a monstrous storm devouring the entire eastern half of the United
States. The last charts of the 850m/rinds/RH shows that the precipitation
falling over the upper midwest will be in the form of heavy, wet snow
(below freezing temperatures at the 850mb level, about 2000ft above ground
level).

This is the biggest storm I've ever scene the NGP put out in the year or
so I've been paying attention to it. Caveat: Reliability at such extreme
range is poor, but this predicted monster storm has remained a feature for
the last four consecutive model runs. The snow band may shift more to the
Dakotas or eastward, or more could be in the form of rain, but at this
point it looks like a two-footer.

"Panhandle Hooker" is a meteorological term for a low pressure system that
moves eastward out of the Rockies, intensifies explosively around the
Texas and Oklahoma "panhandle" regions, then hooks northeast. They
typically produce blizzard conditions on their northern side, with
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the southern plains. This storm
would be the first true major panhandle hooker blizzard in several years.

You will need to access the URLs at top fairly quickly. The runs are
redone every 12 hours, and older runs are not kept around forever. New NGP
model runs can be accessed from
http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/fiorino/wxmap/wx.conus.htm


Y O U   H E A R D   I T   H E R E   F I R S T!


(Why depend on the local weather geeks to lie to you, when you can go
straight to the source for your latest forecast lies!)

Of course, now that I've written this, the forecast models will puke the
storm out into some wimpy thing that dives southeast into the Gulf and
rains on Tampa. We'll see......


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From: mike1@blizzard.visi.com (Michael+Schneider)
Subject: Big Blizzard next Tuesday??????
Date: 1998/02/12
Message-ID: <mike1-1202981748180001@13-106.dynamic.visi.com>
X-Deja-AN: 324591733
NNTP-Posting-Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 17:45:43 CST
Organization: Uniformed Rank of Lousy Cats
Newsgroups: mn.general,wi.general,ia.weather,ia.talk,ne.general,sci.geo.meteorology,bit.listserv.wx-chase,bit.listserv.wx-talk