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7 total messages Started by Fabrikant Mon, 03 Apr 2006 19:34
"Never in the history of mankind" trick
#507
Author: Fabrikant
Date: Mon, 03 Apr 2006 19:34
55 lines
4548 bytes
Several months ago, all media was shouting that the latest revelations
from South Pole are so devastating that we are all about to die.
Several headlines announced: "Never in the history of mankind was the
level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere so high." So, I decided to
check, how exactly high is the present level just to see, whether we
are all about to suffocate ourselves.  I got copies of the scientific
articles published in "Science" and started reading them.

Guess, what is the present level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere:
is it 1%, 5%, 10%, 20%, 50%?  None of the above.  Various sources give
it at about one third of one percent (just for comparison, nitrogen is
about 78% and oxygen is about 20% of atmosphere).  Have in mind that
carbon dioxide is not a poison, it is what every living creature
exhales and what every plant inhales, because it is absolutely
necessary for photosynthesis.

The media does bombard us with numbers, but only with those, which
serve their dishonest goals: to create panic, because panic sells.  We
are told that each human exhales about 4 tons of carbon dioxide, which
is 50 times the weight of average human being, so we feel like criminal
polluters and fight with urges to stop breathing at all.  I have never
heard our "objective" media telling us the whole story or at least
mention that without carbon dioxide all life will stop, because all the
plants will die.

Now let us move to the part "never in the history".  The articles
published in "Science" claim to go back 650,000 years, reconstituting
Earth's atmosphere composition from the air bubbles trapped in polar
ice core.  If we believe the presented graphs, the carbon dioxide
concentration has always been fluctuating between 0.18%and 0.3%with
periodicity of about 100,000 years. So, about 100,000 years ago, the
carbon dioxide concentration was 0.3%, while now the maximum observed
is 0.38%. Taking into consideration that there was no measurable
industrial human activity 100,000 years ago, we should presume 0.3% of
carbon dioxide has nothing to do with humans.  Even if the remaining
0.08% is due to humans, this means that if we stop all industrial
activity, we can not go below 0.3%, so what is all hoopla about?

There is one more detail: every data in the published graph presents
not the carbon dioxide concentration at certain point in time, but
rather average of 731 years.  Notwithstanding the present concentration
of 0.38%, if we take the average of the past 731 years, I am sure, we
will not get more than 0.3% concentration and the conclusion will be
that we now are at the same situation, as 100,000 years ago and there
is really nothing to talk about.  Another nuance: the age of ice is
quite approximate and air bubble in it usually between 800 and 2000
years younger than the ice itself.

In addition, at least one of the articles states quite clearly that
there is nothing abnormal in the present atmosphere.  Of course, the
media would not quote this opinion back to you.  So, whenever the media
is trying to scare the life out of you, read the original research and
make your own conclusions.

Fabrikant
Re: "Never in the history of mankind" trick
#508
Author: Brent P
Date: Mon, 03 Apr 2006 19:53
13 lines
2187 bytes
In article <1144092864.318383.157620@v46g2000cwv.googlegroups.com>, Fabrikant wrote:
> Several months ago, all media was shouting that the latest revelations
> from South Pole are so devastating that we are all about to die.
> Several headlines announced: "Never in the history of mankind was the
> level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere so high." So, I decided to
> check, how exactly high is the present level just to see, whether we
> are all about to suffocate ourselves.  I got copies of the scientific
> articles published in "Science" and started reading them.

Here's something to throw the monkey into the wrench: (Purposeful play on the old 
saying BTW) 

http://www.google.com/search?q=ice+free+antarctica+map
Re: "Never in the history of mankind" trick
#509
Author: Defender of Enormous Manhood
Date: Mon, 03 Apr 2006 22:20
5 lines
1751 bytes
How many years did it take you to conclude that the Media is the
largest source of mis-information?

I guess sitting, rotting in Prison for multiple homicide gives you time
to think about all the stuff you took for granted.
Re: "Never in the history of mankind" trick
#510
Author: Chicago Paddling-Fishing
Date: Mon, 03 Apr 2006 22:44
33 lines
2790 bytes
In chi.general Brent P <tetraethylleadREMOVETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
: In article <1144092864.318383.157620@v46g2000cwv.googlegroups.com>, Fabrikant wrote:
:> Several months ago, all media was shouting that the latest revelations
:> from South Pole are so devastating that we are all about to die.
:> Several headlines announced: "Never in the history of mankind was the
:> level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere so high." So, I decided to
:> check, how exactly high is the present level just to see, whether we
:> are all about to suffocate ourselves.  I got copies of the scientific
:> articles published in "Science" and started reading them.

: Here's something to throw the monkey into the wrench: (Purposeful play on the old 
: saying BTW) 

: http://www.google.com/search?q=ice+free+antarctica+map

I assume your refering to http://www.world-mysteries.com/sar_1.htm?

I would think it's related to the "Medieval Warm Period" 
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medieval_Warm_Period).

Thats when the Vikings inhabited Greenland and were farming there... the claim
was that when they settled there around 900 southern Greenland was nice... not
so by the time they dissappeared around 1400 however...

The mini-ice age came soon afterwards.  Thats when the trees that would yield
the great violins would grow...  

-- 
John Nelson
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Chicago Area Paddling/Fishing Page
       http://www.chicagopaddling.org   http://www.chicagofishing.org
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Re: "Never in the history of mankind" trick
#511
Author: Brent P
Date: Tue, 04 Apr 2006 02:17
33 lines
2977 bytes
In article <e0s8g2$lpk$1@e250.ripco.com>, Chicago Paddling-Fishing wrote:

>: Here's something to throw the monkey into the wrench: (Purposeful play on the old 
>: saying BTW) 
> 
>: http://www.google.com/search?q=ice+free+antarctica+map
 
> I assume your refering to http://www.world-mysteries.com/sar_1.htm?

Yes those maps. 
 
> I would think it's related to the "Medieval Warm Period" 
> (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medieval_Warm_Period).

Um no. This map and the others like it which show varried level of detail 
of antarctica without ice were based on ancient sources. Antarctica was not 
offically discovered until the early 19th century. 

> Thats when the Vikings inhabited Greenland and were farming there... the claim
> was that when they settled there around 900 southern Greenland was nice... not
> so by the time they dissappeared around 1400 however...

According to conventional theory, antarctica has been covered with ice 
for the last several million years. Since long before humans existed. 
Modern ice-free maps of antarctica came from the use of radar to map it. 
First done in the 1950s. 

However also according to conventional theory, no human ever made it to 
antarctica before the early 19th century. 

Somebody has to be wrong somewhere. Especially since this map and others 
predate accurately knowing what antarica looked like without ice. And 
known in modern times before the knowledge to fake them existed. 
Re: "Never in the history of mankind" trick
#512
Author: Nexus7
Date: Tue, 04 Apr 2006 02:39
74 lines
4974 bytes
Fabrikant wrote:
> Guess, what is the present level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere:
> is it 1%, 5%, 10%, 20%, 50%?  None of the above.  Various sources give
> it at about one third of one percent (just for comparison, nitrogen is
> about 78% and oxygen is about 20% of atmosphere).

The statement is irrelevant - the level of CO2 in the atmosphere
relative to other gases doesn't imply anything about the significance
of the level of CO2 itself, unless you're saying something about
reactions between these constituents, which you are not. It's like
saying that arsenic is harmless because there's only 1 gram in a liter
of water.

> carbon dioxide is not a poison, it is what every living creature
> exhales and what every plant inhales, because it is absolutely
> necessary for photosynthesis.

The statement is irrelevant - for the reasons stated above and also
because the phenomena that are said to be harmful and triggered by the
rising CO2 levels, are not the inhalation/exhalation by every living
creature. It's somewhat like saying that water in gunpowder is harmless
bacause everybody is drinking so much of it.

> The media does bombard us with numbers, but only with those, which
> serve their dishonest goals: to create panic, because panic sells.  We

The MSM is innumerate, venal, and incompetent, but that doesn't imply
anything about the body of research about global warming.

> are told that each human exhales about 4 tons of carbon dioxide, which
> is 50 times the weight of average human being, so we feel like criminal
> polluters and fight with urges to stop breathing at all.

That is a good joke.

> heard our "objective" media telling us the whole story or at least
> mention that without carbon dioxide all life will stop, because all the
> plants will die.

Because it is irrelevant.

> periodicity of about 100,000 years. So, about 100,000 years ago, the
> carbon dioxide concentration was 0.3%, while now the maximum observed
> is 0.38%. Taking into consideration that there was no measurable
> industrial human activity 100,000 years ago, we should presume 0.3% of
> carbon dioxide has nothing to do with humans.  Even if the remaining
> 0.08% is due to humans, this means that if we stop all industrial
> activity, we can not go below 0.3%, so what is all hoopla about?

You asserting that the difference between 0.30 and 0.38 is
insignificant, which you are not qualified to say.

> There is one more detail: every data in the published graph presents
> not the carbon dioxide concentration at certain point in time, but
> rather average of 731 years.  Notwithstanding the present concentration
> of 0.38%, if we take the average of the past 731 years, I am sure, we
> will not get more than 0.3% concentration and the conclusion will be

This statement is internally contradictory.

> In addition, at least one of the articles states quite clearly that
> there is nothing abnormal in the present atmosphere.

And you're asserting that this is the one article that got it right.

> media would not quote this opinion back to you.  So, whenever the media
> is trying to scare the life out of you, read the original research and
> make your own conclusions.

You're asserting  that your audience and yourself are capable of
drawing valid conclusions from the original research. The mass media
may be imbeciles, but that doesn't imply that the audience is
scientifically literate.
Re: "Never in the history of mankind" trick
#506
Author: Chicago Paddling-Fishing
Date: Tue, 04 Apr 2006 19:09
50 lines
3710 bytes
In chi.general Brent P <tetraethylleadREMOVETHIS@yahoo.com> wrote:
: In article <e0s8g2$lpk$1@e250.ripco.com>, Chicago Paddling-Fishing wrote:

:>: Here's something to throw the monkey into the wrench: (Purposeful play on the old 
:>: saying BTW) 
:> 
:>: http://www.google.com/search?q=ice+free+antarctica+map
:  
:> I assume your refering to http://www.world-mysteries.com/sar_1.htm?

: Yes those maps. 
:  
:> I would think it's related to the "Medieval Warm Period" 
:> (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medieval_Warm_Period).

: Um no. This map and the others like it which show varried level of detail 
: of antarctica without ice were based on ancient sources. Antarctica was not 
: offically discovered until the early 19th century. 

:> Thats when the Vikings inhabited Greenland and were farming there... the claim
:> was that when they settled there around 900 southern Greenland was nice... not
:> so by the time they dissappeared around 1400 however...

: According to conventional theory, antarctica has been covered with ice 
: for the last several million years. Since long before humans existed. 
: Modern ice-free maps of antarctica came from the use of radar to map it. 
: First done in the 1950s. 

: However also according to conventional theory, no human ever made it to 
: antarctica before the early 19th century. 

Yea yea... and Hennepin "discovered" the Falls of St. Anthony when the Sioux
took him there on a annual hunting trip...

: Somebody has to be wrong somewhere. Especially since this map and others 
: predate accurately knowing what antarica looked like without ice. And 
: known in modern times before the knowledge to fake them existed. 

The maps probably show general features... and probably a little wobble here 
or there in the earth controls who is warm and dry at any one time... as
Greenland warmed, it might have been colder down there, but during the later 
mini ice age in Europe, it was probably pretty warm down there... and people
had been passing there for centuries trading with the far east...

-- 
John Nelson
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Chicago Area Paddling/Fishing Page
       http://www.chicagopaddling.org   http://www.chicagofishing.org
 (A Non-Commercial Web Site: No Sponsors, No Paid Ads and Nothing to Sell)
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