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Article #397Re: Prediction on the future of cellphones
From: Peter Murray
Date: Wed, 08 May 2002 12:51
Date: Wed, 08 May 2002 12:51
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"John Fulton" <jfulton@actrix.gen.nz> wrote in message news:QO7C8.1404$A07.210837@news02.tsnz.net... > In message <3cd8436d.1424378@news.caverock.net.nz> - > tennyson@caverock.net.nz.NO_SPAM (Snoopy) writes: <snip> > GSM offers global roaming in many more countries than the three that CDMA > does. While CDMA may be a more modern system, GSM has a much greater market > penetration. The example of Microsoft tends to indicate what market > penetration can achieve! > I haven't been following the argument too much, but just because a technology dominates the market, does not make it a better technology. People will not necessarily adopt the best technology, but will often follow the crowd. For example, BETA was a technically better video system, yet almost everyone has VHS. New technology is often restricted by having to be compatible with existing technology, but with cellphones, the network provider just installs the new technology on the cell towers alongside their old system and starts promoting new handsets which can access it. From the user's point of view, they don't really care what acronym the technology uses as long as it does what they want (or think they want). I predict that the next generation of cell phone handsets will use either a completely different encoding and transmission system offering a much higher bandwidth or will use two different existing systems in the one handset to provide greater coverage and higher bandwidth. This could even solve the number portability problem. -- Peter Murray open i http://www.blenheim.co.nz/open_i
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: 108c83,cb464f807cdeba4d X-Google-Attributes: gid108c83,public X-Google-Thread: 106e5e,cb464f807cdeba4d X-Google-Attributes: gid106e5e,public X-Google-ArrivalTime: 2002-05-08 05:51:12 PST Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!archiver1.google.com!news1.google.com!sn-xit-02!sn-xit-03!supernews.com!logbridge.uoregon.edu!xmission!news-out.spamkiller.net!propagator2-maxim!propagator-maxim!news-in.spamkiller.net!news02.tsnz.net!news.nz.asiaonline.net From: "Peter Murray" <peter.murray@bigfoot.com> Newsgroups: nz.comp,aus.computers References: <3cd7b485.4388559@news.caverock.net.nz> <ltefducu11s0bu8cqpjlck37lir6ci79c3@4ax.com> <3cd8436d.1424378@news.caverock.net.nz> <QO7C8.1404$A07.210837@news02.tsnz.net> Subject: Re: Prediction on the future of cellphones Lines: 37 X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Newsreader: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.50.4133.2400 X-MIMEOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.50.4133.2400 X-Original-NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.54.169.67 Message-ID: <3cd91f3c@news.nz.asiaonline.net> X-Original-Trace: 9 May 2002 00:51:08 +1200, 210.54.169.67 Organization: "Asia Online NZ Ltd." Date: Thu, 9 May 2002 00:51:13 +1200 NNTP-Posting-Host: 210.48.22.5 X-Complaints-To: abuse@tsnz.net X-Trace: news02.tsnz.net 1020862270 210.48.22.5 (Thu, 09 May 2002 00:51:10 NZST) NNTP-Posting-Date: Thu, 09 May 2002 00:51:10 NZST