Article View: ott.housing
Article #36Mortgage rates going up again
From: Elat Lerner
Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2001 22:39
Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2001 22:39
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8485 bytes
According to reports in Friday's papers: CIBC and Bank of Montreal announced they're raising rates on two-, three-, four- and five-year terms by .65 of a percentage point, one of the largest one-time increases in recent memory. Rates on other mortgage terms are rising by smaller amounts. Effective today, the new two-year rate is 5.75 per cent, the three-year term 6.25 per cent, the four-year charge 6.75 per cent and the five-year term 7.1 per cent. (damian_levangie@hotmail.com) writes: > I am locked in for five years with TD at 5.45% currently and > dropping....got the floatdown option goin' on until I close on the > house. It will most certainly go down again...excellent time to be > buying. These great rates combined with the fact that the price of > houses have definitely leveled off in Ottawa makes for great > conditions...These rates are unheard of... > > Cheers > > On 12 Nov 2001 00:18:20 GMT, cx172@FreeNet.Carleton.CA (Elat Lerner) > wrote: > >>Mike (anon@xnews.com) writes: >>> Actually while I'm not going to debate your whole message, you are wrong >>> about the mortgage rates being higher than 2-3 years ago. According to >>> http://www.grgmortgage.com/histori.htm which gets it's data from CMHC, >> >>Actually the site you recommend confirmed the exact rate I quoted: >>6.71% for April 1999. >> >>And yes you are right, the current rates just dropped to 6.7% >>(wouldn't you know it I just renewed a mortgage on Wednesday >>when rates were still at 6.9%). >> >>However, the reporter was not talking about the rates today, they >>were talking about the housing market last month. If you ask me >>for my crystal ball, I will predict that the Ottawa housing market >>will yawn at the lower rates and continue on it's downward spiral. >> >>Of course, my crystal ball has been known to malfunction at >>times :-) >> >>> mortgages have not been lower than the current posted rate (6.70/5 years) >>> in the past 40 years. Furthermore, banks are more aggressive now and will >>> discount the rate up to 1.25% where as in the past (even recently) would >>> only discount 0.5-1.0% so the rate the consumers are getting is much lower >>> than it's ever been. You can get a 1 year rate for 3.6% right now! >>> >>> As far as the Ottawa market, it's certainly cooled down and homes aren't >>> selling as fast but prices haven't really gone down overall. >> >>And you say this based on...? >> >>> They have >>> gone down a bit but that's mostly because homes are selling more slowly now >>> and buyers now have some negotiating power. >> >>Is this not a contradiction to your previous sentence? >> >>> The list prices are actually >>> probably higher now than they were last year (last year many homes were >>> selling above list price). >> >>List prices don't a market price make. >> >>I wonder if the situation in Toronto is the same. Anyone? >> >>> Just my 2cents, >>> Mike >>> >>> cx172@FreeNet.Carleton.CA (Elat Lerner) wrote in >>> <9sma3h$n16$1@freenet9.carleton.ca>: >>> >>>>Eric Beauchesne wrote in the Citizen on Nov 10: >>>> "Falling rates buoy housing picture" >>>> >>>>Does Eric not know that today's mortgage rates are higher than those >>>>of 2-3 years ago? >>>> >>>> "Demand for new houses remains strong despite weakened economy: CMHC" >>>> >>>>Does CMHC not realize that this is a fallacy in many places including >>>>Ottawa? >>>> >>>>In it's report Building permits September 2000 StatCan says: >>>> >>>> "The value of housing permits rose a marginal 0.2% to $1.8 billion; >>>> only multi-family dwellings contributed to the gain... >>>> >>>> Among the provinces, Western Canada accounted for September's rise >>>> in housing permits; all provinces east of Saskatchewan >>>> posted declines." >>>> >>>>Does not sound like demand of housing is that great even outside Ottawa. >>>> >>>>Back to Eric: � >>>> "Despite the skepticism of opposition critics and some economists, >>>> plunging interest rates are working their magic on a key sector >>>> of the economy, housing, easing pressure on Finance >>>> Minister Paul Martin to do more to stimulate an economy many >>>> analysts argue is already in recession." >>>> >>>> Home construction rose a surprising 12.7 per cent last month" >>>> >>>>It did? In which part of the country? >>>> >>>> "Urban starts rose in all regions," Canada Mortgage and >>>> Housing Corp. economist Philippe Le Goff" >>>> >>>>Check the facts. >>>> >>>> "Ted Carmichael, economist at J.P. Morgan Canada, agreed, >>>> saying "falling mortgage rates..." >>>> >>>>Maybe if you repeat this fallacy enough times it will become >>>>true? >>>> >>>> "The pace of construction remained ahead of last year's >>>> in all major cities other than Montreal, where starts were >>>> down one per cent." >>>> >>>>According to the Ottawa Business News: >>>> >>>> "There was a decline in Ottawa housing starts last month, >>>> when compared to October 2000" >>>> >>>>Back to Eric: >>>> >>>> "For a homebuyer the savings from the drop in rates this year..." >>>> >>>>That's a little better, but it would be nice if the Citizen >>>>explained that mortgage rates are still higher than they were a >>>>couple of years ago. >>>> >>>> "...as the government leaves it to the Bank of Canada to >>>> stimulate the economy." >>>> >>>>The Bank of Canada does not set mortgage rates. Doesn't Eric >>>>know that? >>>> >>>> "Central banks' ... both the European and England's >>>> central banks... U.S. Federal Reserve... Bank of Canada..." >>>> >>>>What have any of these to do with mortgage rates????? >>>> >>>>Kristin Goff continues with" >>>> "House sales surprise Ottawa industry" >>>> � >>>> "Mortgage rates, which have fallen to 6.9 per cent on five-year >>>> terms at major banks" >>>> >>>>You mean the 5-yr mortgage rate that "fell" from the 6.71% average >>>>rate recorded by the Bank of Canada for April of 1999? >>>> >>>> "Resales... In October the average was $172,900 last month which >>>> was still up about 10 per cent from October, 2000." >>>> >>>>Don't know about that, but how about telling your readers that the >>>>average resale home in Ottawa fetched $175,594 for the first nine >>>>months of 2001. Sounds like prices are declining from where I stand. >>>> >>>> "Mr. Knowlton said overall new home sales prices haven't >>>> declined noticeably." >>>> >>>>Oh? So they did decline? By how much? >>>> >>>>The Citizen not covered the September New House Price index published >>>>by StatCan on Nov 10. This report shows that new house prices moved >>>>up a slugish 0.1% in Toronto and 0% in Ottawa. >>>> -- Donate blood http://www.bloodservices.ca/Ontario/Ottawa/index.html
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII X-Google-Thread: f504b,eb24167e1646d6d6,start X-Google-Attributes: gidf504b,public X-Google-Thread: fc3d0,a47a030070218199 X-Google-Attributes: gidfc3d0,public X-Google-Thread: 10643c,a47a030070218199 X-Google-Attributes: gid10643c,public X-Google-Thread: f71c6,a47a030070218199 X-Google-Attributes: gidf71c6,public X-Google-Thread: 104d3a,a47a030070218199 X-Google-Attributes: gid104d3a,public X-Google-Thread: fbcc1,a47a030070218199 X-Google-Attributes: gidfbcc1,public X-Google-ArrivalTime: 2001-11-18 14:40:16 PST Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!archiver1.google.com!news1.google.com!sn-xit-02!supernews.com!newsfeed.direct.ca!look.ca!torn!cunews!freenet-news!FreeNet.Carleton.CA!cx172 From: cx172@FreeNet.Carleton.CA (Elat Lerner) Newsgroups: ott.housing,tor.housing,can.construction,ont.general,tor.general,can.general Subject: Mortgage rates going up again Date: 18 Nov 2001 22:39:34 GMT Organization: The National Capital FreeNet Lines: 178 Message-ID: <9t9db6$sgb$1@freenet9.carleton.ca> References: <9sma3h$n16$1@freenet9.carleton.ca> <915682554anon.xnews.com@24.9.0.19> <9sn4gc$1ju$1@freenet9.carleton.ca> <3bef4600.4465247@news> Reply-To: cx172@FreeNet.Carleton.CA (Elat Lerner) NNTP-Posting-Host: freenet10 X-Trace: freenet9.carleton.ca 1006123174 29195 134.117.136.30 (18 Nov 2001 22:39:34 GMT) X-Complaints-To: complaints@ncf.ca NNTP-Posting-Date: 18 Nov 2001 22:39:34 GMT X-Given-Sender: cx172@freenet10.carleton.ca (Elat Lerner)