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Article #1814Re: Measure 48 could give Oregon the nation's fastest economic growth
From: Lobby Dosser
Date: Sat, 26 Aug 2006 07:11
Date: Sat, 26 Aug 2006 07:11
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7551 bytes
"Curt" <cje@hevanet.com> wrote: > > <Dan S. Milagros> wrote in message > news:aeque2le0fqnp0t51phse852taidk4sada@4ax.com... >> On Wed, 23 Aug 2006 08:11:24 -0700, pjberg@webtv.net (Paul J. Berg) >> wrote: >> >> > >> >What if Oregon could enjoy the fastest economic growth rate of any >> >state over the next five years? What if, over the next two years, >> >Oregon could build a rainy day fund in excess of $2 billion to help >> >cushion inevitable economic downturns? >> > >> >The first scenario above is what actually happened in Colorado from >> >1995 through 2000, the first five years of its citizen-imposed >> >spending limitation, known there as TABOR, or Taxpayer Bill of >> >Rights. The second scenario is what forecasters predict will happen >> >here over the next two years if Oregonians pass a spending >> >limitation on the November ballot known as the Rainy Day Amendment. >> > >> >Tax and expenditure limitations are on the books in some 30 states, >> >keeping the size of government in check through limiting either >> >state revenue or spending. They generally do so by tying government >> >growth to either the growth of personal income or to a combination >> >of inflation plus population growth. Inflation plus population >> >growth has historically been more consistent and less volatile than >> >the growth of personal income, which can fluctuate widely. >> > >> >Colorado's TABOR amendment is actually quite different from the >> >proposed Oregon Rainy Day Amendment. TABOR limits growth in both >> >state and local government revenue. It requires that revenue above >> >the limitation be returned to taxpayers, which worked well during >> >the economic boom of the late 1990s, but which put downward pressure >> >on government budgets during the bust that occurred in the early >> >part of this decade. This so-called ratchet down effect caused >> >Colorado voters to suspend TABOR for five years beginning last >> >November. >> > >> >Oregon's Rainy Day proposal limits not revenue, but expenditures. It >> >applies only to the state, not to local governments. Revenue >> >collected above the limitation can either be kept in a rainy day >> >fund or returned to taxpayers at the legislature's discretion. >> >Oregon's proposal has no ratchet down mechanism. >> > >> >In fact, unlike in Colorado, if state revenues decline here the >> >government can call on the rainy day funds accumulated during the >> >good times to maintain state spending. Also, as in Colorado, the >> >legislature and citizens can vote to override the limits in the >> >future. >> > >> >The projected $2.2 billion that Oregon๏ฟฝ?Ts Rainy Day ballot >> >measure might keep from being spent over the next two years is being >> >portrayed as a "loss"? by opponents of the measure. They want voters >> >to believe that such a large amount of money will starve essential >> >state services. What they fail to acknowledge is that this money >> >still will be collected, just not spent right away. Also, the $2.2 >> >billion should be compared to the state's All Funds budget >> >(currently over $42 billion) rather than to the General Fund >> >(currently almost $12 billion). >> > >> >The legislature will have wide discretion in how it applies the >> >amendment's limit on total spending, and it will have no explicit >> >limits on the General Fund. Legislators thus could make spending >> >adjustments that would largely hold harmless budget items such as >> >education, human services, and public safety which make up over 90 >> >percent of the General Fund. >> > >> >Both Oregon's Rainy Day Amendment and TABOR base their limits on >> >growth of state population and inflation. But beyond that, Oregon's >> >proposal gives the state more latitude to preserve excess revenues >> >in a rainy day fund, rather than return them to taxpayers. Opponents >> >of the measure today likely will be the first to argue for keeping >> >those excess revenues if it passes in November. >> > >> >Sustainability is such a big concept in Oregon that it should be >> >applied to government growth as well as to the environment. Oregon's >> >All Funds budget grew twice as fast as the combined increase in >> >population and inflation over the past ten years, clearly not a >> >sustainable path. Opponents of the Rainy Day Amendment have the >> >burden to explain why state government should be allowed to grow >> >faster than the private sector. Oregon's tax revenues are highly >> >variable from year to year because of our reliance on income and >> >capital gains taxes. Programs begun at the height of a boom cannot >> >be continued during a recession except through tax hikes or >> >borrowing. Opponents of the Rainy Day Amendment have the burden to >> >explain how better to cushion future economic downturns if state >> >government continues to immediately spend every dime that comes in >> >the door. >> > >> >The Rainy Day Amendment offers the best features of the Colorado >> >limitation, which led to strong economic growth during the boom, >> >while avoiding the worst features that kept Colorado from easily >> >adjusting to the bust. Oregonians who want their government to be >> >fiscally responsible should seriously consider the opportunity it >> >presents. >> Oh my gosh...a ballot initiative signed by thousands of Oregon >> citizens seeking to reign in government spending...and all the far >> left extremist and unions are upset. >> Well....not all unions...just those unions who get there money from >> government workers. >> >> lordy lordy poor old government with it's million dollar light rails >> and jails that are built and not used...and government with screwed >> up tram deals. >> >> are the voters gonna be frightened away by the doom and gloom from >> these fake unions? >> >> you think supporters of this ballot measure will be bombed...recall >> that Bill Sizemore's political office was bombed. Will the lefties >> get who next? > > Didn't the sheriff's office say they thought he'd bombed his own > office to destroy records so he wouldn't have to produce them as a > defendant later? You think the sheriff's office would risk the suit? > > There was something like that going on. I don't recall exactly. > > Curt > > >
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X-Google-Thread: 1128d6,a8e67995edb32d17 X-Google-Thread: 111a85,a8e67995edb32d17 X-Google-Thread: 1141a2,a8e67995edb32d17 X-Google-Thread: 1026d8,a8e67995edb32d17 X-Google-Attributes: gid1128d6,gid111a85,gid1141a2,gid1026d8,public X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!g2news2.google.com!news4.google.com!border1.nntp.dca.giganews.com!nntp.giganews.com!nx01.iad01.newshosting.com!newshosting.com!130.81.64.211.MISMATCH!cycny01.gnilink.net!spamkiller.gnilink.net!gnilink.net!trnddc01.POSTED!4d1ca87b!not-for-mail Newsgroups: pdx.general,or.politics,alt.politics,co.politics Subject: Re: Measure 48 could give Oregon the nation's fastest economic growth From: Lobby Dosser <lobby.dosser.mapson@verizon.net> References: <2780-44EC701C-131@storefull-3237.bay.webtv.net> <aeque2le0fqnp0t51phse852taidk4sada@4ax.com> <12evrkh532gh677@corp.supernews.com> User-Agent: Xnews/06.02.16 Lines: 127 Message-ID: <uuSHg.1388$XD1.434@trnddc01> Date: Sat, 26 Aug 2006 07:11:22 GMT NNTP-Posting-Host: 71.111.68.24 X-Complaints-To: abuse@verizon.net X-Trace: trnddc01 1156576282 71.111.68.24 (Sat, 26 Aug 2006 03:11:22 EDT) NNTP-Posting-Date: Sat, 26 Aug 2006 03:11:22 EDT