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Article #2778

What's the overall ratio?

#2778
From: Rick Miller
Date: Tue, 05 Jan 1993 16:52
13 lines
1205 bytes
An interesting point was made in a previous article about the fact that
the estimates of time for which something will probably be secure aren't
taking into account the rapid increase in the computing power available
over that time...  So I was wondering:

Has anyone got a function which approximately models the progressive
increase in computing power (in, let's say, [Mega]FLOPs) over the years
which might reasonably be used for rough prediction?  Something like
this, incorporated into the equations for probable crack-times would
give a more realistic estimate.

Rick Miller   <rick@ee.uwm.edu> | <rick@discus.mil.wi.us>   Ricxjo Muelisto
Occupation:  Husband, Father, WEPCo. WAN Mgr., Discus Sys0p, and  Linux fan
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References: <1993Jan04.051300.26089@rat.csc.calpoly.edu> <cfG9faf0Bwwb4F5T9z@transarc.com> <1993Jan05.160811.29681@rchland.ibm.com>

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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!caen!uwm.edu!uwm.edu!usenet
From: rick@ee.uwm.edu (Rick Miller)
Newsgroups: sci.crypt
Subject: What's the overall ratio?
Date: 5 Jan 1993 16:52:23 GMT
Organization: Just me.
Lines: 13
Message-ID: <1icec7INNo3h@uwm.edu>
References: <1993Jan04.051300.26089@rat.csc.calpoly.edu> <cfG9faf0Bwwb4F5T9z@transarc.com> <1993Jan05.160811.29681@rchland.ibm.com>
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Summary: Was: Another well-intentioned novice's question