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Article #1717

Re: Surviving Hyper-Inflation

#1717
From: Brent Buckner
Date: Tue, 12 Jan 1993 16:17
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In article <1993Jan12.013500.5339@adobe.com> hamachi@adobe.com (Gordon Hamachi) writes:
>Gordon Hamachi writes
>> I read the book and it scares the hell out of me.
>
>Figgie's "Bankruptcy 1995" still scares the hell out of me, but for an  
>alternative view, see Business Week, January 11, 1993, p. 14.
>
>The reviewer says:
>
>        His predictions of economic ruin are, frankly, silly.  If the deficit
>    goes unchecked, he anticipates a currency collapse, widespread bank
>    failures, massive layoffs, cuts in Social Security benefits, and
>    hyperinflation.
>
>        I would like to make Figgie a little wager.  I will bet him a year's
>    pay that by 1995, the annual deficit will still be in the neighborhood of
>    $150 billion to $200 billion, and even so, our currency will be strong,
>    inflation will be quite modest, and the U.S. economy will be, overall,
>    healthier than it is today.

I have to read this!  Look at paragraph one:  "If the deficit goes
unchecked, he anticipates...."  And then paragraph two states
(in essence):  "I bet that if the deficit _doesn't_ go unchecked,
what he anticipates won't happen."

Further, the reviewer's characterization of the (present) deficit as being
in the neighborhood of $150 billion to $200 billion is ludicrously low.

-- 
at Bell-Northern Research
voice:        (613) 765-2739
Canada Post:  P.O. Box 3511, Station C, Ottawa, Canada, K1Y 4H7
I do not claim that BNR holds these views.  
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Message-ID: <1993Jan12.161752.5181@bnr.ca>
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!howland.reston.ans.net!usc!cs.utexas.edu!torn!nott!bnrgate!bcars267!bucknerb
References: <1993Jan11.221528.659@adobe.com> <1993Jan12.013500.5339@adobe.com>

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From: bucknerb@bnr.ca (Brent Buckner)
Subject: Re: Surviving Hyper-Inflation
Message-ID: <1993Jan12.161752.5181@bnr.ca>
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References: <1993Jan11.221528.659@adobe.com> <1993Jan12.013500.5339@adobe.com>
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Date: Tue, 12 Jan 1993 16:17:52 GMT
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