Article View: sci.econ
Article #2094Re: Technological Singularity
From: James Sharman
Date: Mon, 08 Jun 1998 00:00
Date: Mon, 08 Jun 1998 00:00
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>There's a good parable -- I think it comes from Sir Peter Medawar, but >I can't recall exactly -- about what proto-primates would have come >up with if asked to design their "super-primate." He suggested that >they would have been interested in making it stronger, more agile, >gifted with better teeth, and so forth. The idea of making it weak, >clumsy, hairless, but capable of language would probably not even have >crossed their minds. I see a similar problem with your projections; >knowing that the "mind" is the mark of man -- which we've known since >Aristotle -- it's easy enough to project that a superman must have a >supermind (and of course, super-strength, super-stamina, X-ray vision, >the ability to fly, and a Kryptonite allergy). But that doesn't mean >*either* that anything with a supermind will eventually become a superman >(and replace us) -- evolution happens in baby steps, nor does it even >mean that the evolutionary replacement for H. sap. sap. will be our >projected superman. Perhaps our evolutionary replacement will be >the subcaste of humans too dumb to be able to figure out how all our >lethal toys like phasers and warp drives work, and therefore will be >able to survive the coming war.... Your whole argument is of course excellent, my argument has of course been largely based on the principle that the superman is by definition more apt at survival than the ordinary man. Or to me its just some guy who appears superior but actually isn't. Moving back to the Technological singularity problem we can apply a bit of cold hard logic to it. We could well sit here on this newsgroup discussing various potential examples of the technological singularity while one we haven't considered creeps up and catches us unawares. In fact if such an event occurs that results in the eventual distruction or replacement of the human race I expect one of the primary causes to be that we didn't see it coming. Many of the first researches into X-rays and radiation died of cancer because they didn't stop to consider that these unseen rays might actually be damaging them in some way. This is in some ways a small scale localised Technological Singularity. I remember a conversation I had quite recently with a colleague. He said that he saw the potential in particle accelerators to destroy the planet, the argument was based on the principle that some of the time they are just splitting odd particles to see what happens and one day they may just split something that releases incredible energy. My first reaction was that this was incredibly unlikely but on reflection it is perhaps more likely than you would think. The true issue at this end of the debate is that people like to mess with things they don't truly understand. However this line of thought is also dangerous, the last thing I would want would be to stop progress for fear of the unknown but a little caution is never a bad thing. However despite arguing against there is a fundamental proof that technological singularity is possible, mankind now has it in its power (in the form of nuclear weapons) to destroy all human life on the planet. There are also other emerging technologies that may give rise to a similar ability and so it becomes increasing difficult to argue that it is impossible that we may destroy ourselves by accident one day. J, Ps: please note in this thread I have been using the term 'man' a lot, this is not intended to be sexist in any way.
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X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit X-Google-Thread: fd5f7,3de6aaf66239df89 X-Google-Attributes: gidfd5f7,public X-Google-Thread: fd6dd,3de6aaf66239df89 X-Google-Attributes: gidfd6dd,public X-Google-Thread: 102b75,3de6aaf66239df89 X-Google-Attributes: gid102b75,public X-Google-Thread: 10461e,3de6aaf66239df89 X-Google-Attributes: gid10461e,public X-Google-Thread: 1045ed,3de6aaf66239df89 X-Google-Attributes: gid1045ed,public From: "James Sharman" <james@exaflop.demon.co.uk> Subject: Re: Technological Singularity Date: 1998/06/08 Message-ID: <897309811.28264.0.nnrp-02.c2d9a433@news.demon.co.uk> X-Deja-AN: 360654882 References: <897063854.14638.0.nnrp-05.c2d9a433@news.demon.co.uk> <6l9990$e9h$1@news.ox.ac.uk> <897297462.23234.0.nnrp-02.c2d9a433@news.demon.co.uk> <6lgbmt$52o$1@news.ox.ac.uk> X-NNTP-Posting-Host: dhcp051.sci.co.uk:194.217.164.51 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.2106.4 X-Complaints-To: abuse@demon.net X-Trace: news.demon.co.uk 897309811 nnrp-02:28264 NO-IDENT dhcp051.sci.co.uk:194.217.164.51 Newsgroups: sci.econ,bionet.neuroscience,comp.ai,comp.arch,comp.robotics.misc