Article View: sci.edu
Article #26LOOKING FOR DOCTORAL STUDY POSITION OF EDUCATION FORECASTING
From: Xiuqing Huang
Date: Mon, 06 Apr 1992 17:56
Date: Mon, 06 Apr 1992 17:56
161 lines
8083 bytes
8083 bytes
A PROPOSAL FOR INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDY
I am looking for a position of interdisciplinary doctoral study and
expertise as my supervisor whose are interested in planning or forecasting
model and method or economic. I have an M.Ed from the Higher Education
Research Institute, Beijing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics(BUAA)
and a B.S.(Mathematics). I am now working at the Department of
Educational Administration and Foundation, the Faculty of Education, The
University of Manitoba as a Visiting Scholar. Based on the analysis of factors
which affect the education development a recursive dynamic model of
education forecasting has been designed and a relative software has been
designed and developed by myself and the software named EFSS (stand for
Education Forecasting Support System) has been used in the Planning Bureau
of Beijing City in 1990 for forecasting the education development from 1991
to 2000. The reliability had been evaluated and some results from the
software have been accepted as basic data for education planning in Beijing
City. The main factors affecting education are listed bellow:
1. The population and the structure of the population at present
time.
2. The fertility and mortality rate at present time and in future
(Distribution on each age)
3. The migration and immigration (in and out).
4. The rates of students being drop out of schools.
5. The rates of students being failed to go to next grade and studying
again.
6. The proportion for student entering deferent schools after their
graduation from post schools.
7. The availability requirement of education funds , facilities and
proportion of students and teachers.
8. The development of region economics, which affect the factors 2, 3,
4, 5, 6, 7 above. And affect factors blow:
(1). The need of society for higher education , such as students number
in general, specialities, the financial support for people entering
university of college
(2). The financial ability of society for supporting higher education
This model is designed for regional education forecasting. It can
calculate the number of students in schools, teachers number, number of
students graduated from schools, number of students dropped out from
schools, facilities in schools and etc. Different forecasting methods have been
accepted for different factors, for example, recursive method has been used
to deal with the population and a time series method has been used to deal
with migration and immigration.
I would like to improve the model and the software to be suitable to
various region or various developing counties. The model could been
improved in two aspects: the first is that for each factor we could evaluate the
different forecasting methods and choose a better one to deal with a factor.
The second aspect is that we could add the other factors such as economic
and employment which affect the education development to the model. These
factors may be very important to education but the relationship between these
factors and the education is very difficult to determined. Anyone who is
interested could inform me by E-mail and the main idea of my model could
be offered, if necessary. Those who could supply me with information about
this area would greatly appreciated.
CURRICULUM VITAE
Mr. Xiuqing Huang
Address: 449 - 99 Dalhousie Drive (residence)
Winnipeg, Manitoba
R3T 3M2
174 Department of Educational Administration
and Foundations
Faculty of Education
University of Manitoba
Winnipeg, Manitoba
R3T 2N2
Telephone: Residence: (204) 275-6783
Office: (204) 474-8548
Date & Place of Birth: October 9, 1957 - Shandong, P.R. CHINA
Personal Status: Married
Present professional position: Visiting Scholar in University of Manitoba
- Faculty of Education
Education:
1987 - 1990 Graduate student, Institute of Higher Education Research,
Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (BUAA)
1984 - 1985 Studying computer science theory, Computer Science
Department, The Shandong Polytechnic University
1981 - 1984 Studying Mathematics, Mathematics Department, Qufu
Teachers University (part-time)
1981 - 1982 Studying Mathematics, Mathematics Department, Shandong
University
1978 - 1980 Studying Mathematics, Mathematics Department, Linyi
Teachers College
1970 - 1974 Attended secondary school at Shandong Province
1964 - 1970 Attended elementary school at Shandong Province
Degrees Held
M. Ed. Institute of Higher Education Research, Beijing
University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (BUAA),
1990
B.S. Qufu Teachers University, 1985
Employment History
Dec. 1991 Visiting Scholar in the Faculty of Education, University of
Manitoba
1990 - 1991 Teaching software engineering in Linyi Teachers College as a
lecturer
1985 - 1987 Teaching computer programming language and software
designing in Linyi Teachers College as a lecturer
1980 - 1981 Teaching Mathematics in Linyi Teachers College as a lecturer
Publications
"Storing the data coming from INPUT statement to the DATA
statement" Chinese Computer World Monthly January 1990. This
paper demonstrates the principle of interactive explanation system of
BASIC and shows how to change the BASIC explanation system.
"Regional Educational Forecasting Support System." Master's thesis
at BUAA, September 1990. The basic elements that affect the
education development have been discussed and a recursive dynamic
education forecasting model has been designed in the thesis.
"Software EFSS (Educational Forecasting Support System)." I
developed the software at Institute of Higher Education research of
BUAA by September 1990. This software has been used in The
Planning Bureau of Beijing City to forecast the development of
education in the Beijing area through 1991 to 2000 and some results
calculated out of EFSS has been used as basic data for planning. The
EFSS was programmed in PASCAL and more than 3,000 lines.
"The International Encyclopedia of Education Research and Studies"
translated from English to Chinese, X. Huang et al (forthcoming).
+---------------------------------------------------------+
| Xiuqing Huang |
| 174 Education Building |
| Department of Educational Administration and Foundation |
| Faculty of Education |
| The University of Manitoba |
| Canada R3T 2N2 |
+---------------------------------------------------------+
| <huangx@ccu.umnitoba.ca> |
+---------------------------------------------------------+
Technical Details
Message-ID:
<1992Apr6.175602.12727@ccu.umanitoba.ca>Path:
arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!bonnie.concordia.ca!ccu.umanitoba.ca!huangxShow Full Headers
Complete Article Headers
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!bonnie.concordia.ca!ccu.umanitoba.ca!huangx From: huangx@ccu.umanitoba.ca (Xiuqing Huang) Newsgroups: sci.edu Subject: LOOKING FOR DOCTORAL STUDY POSITION OF EDUCATION FORECASTING Keywords: FORECASTING, PLANNING, EDUCATION Message-ID: <1992Apr6.175602.12727@ccu.umanitoba.ca> Date: 6 Apr 92 17:56:02 GMT Distribution: ea Organization: University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada Lines: 161