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Article #517help: have forecast, need % probability
From: Rosemary Macedo
Date: Thu, 05 Nov 1992 18:22
Date: Thu, 05 Nov 1992 18:22
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Please help this nonstatistician. I have a forecast of y. I know the historical distribution (mean & st dev) of the forecasts of y, and I know the same for y itself. How do I calculate the % chance, given FCST(y), that y > 0 or < 0 ? I also know the mult R of my forecasts with the actual. Please reply to rosy@alumni.caltech.edu Thanks in advance for help. (My access to reference books in statistics is rather limited).r
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!charon.amdahl.com!pacbell.com!decwrl!spool.mu.edu!caen!saimiri.primate.wisc.edu!ames!elroy.jpl.nasa.gov!nntp-server.caltech.edu!rosy From: rosy@cco.caltech.edu (Rosemary Macedo) Newsgroups: sci.math.stat Subject: help: have forecast, need % probability Date: 5 Nov 1992 18:22:47 GMT Organization: California Institute of Technology, Pasadena Lines: 10 Message-ID: <1dbopnINNr6m@gap.caltech.edu> NNTP-Posting-Host: alumni.caltech.edu