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Article #571Re: Let's Make a Deal!
From: William H. Jefferys
Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1992 04:14
Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1992 04:14
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In article <80686@ut-emx.uucp> I wrote: #I think there is more than mathematicians' #and statisticians' egos involved. MvS's ego is #equally involved, and her response to a critical #article in (what?) Journal of Mathematical #Education (?)--the reference was posted recently-- #shows this very clearly. Mike Minnotte posted the correct reference: . The November, 1991 issue of The American Statistician had an article . by Morgan, Chaganty, Dahiya, and Doviak which analyzes the problem . under fairly general assumptions. It turns out that _if_ the host . always shows a goat, you always do better to switch, but you only . do as well as 2/3 if ,given that you have chosen the door with the . car to begin with, the probabilities are equal that he chooses each . of the other two doors. . . The issue also contains a fairly hostile letter in response by . vos Savant. If you're interested in the problem, it's worth . checking out. Bill
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!sun-barr!cs.utexas.edu!ut-emx!bessel.as.utexas.edu!bill From: bill@bessel.as.utexas.edu (William H. Jefferys) Newsgroups: sci.math.stat Subject: Re: Let's Make a Deal! Message-ID: <80690@ut-emx.uucp> Date: 29 Sep 92 04:14:29 GMT References: <1992Sep24.093831.395@hnrc.tufts.edu> <1992Sep24.222349.7583@u.washington.edu> <80686@ut-emx.uucp> Sender: news@ut-emx.uucp Organization: McDonald Observatory, University of Texas @ Austin Lines: 24