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Article #631

margin of error

#631
From: Kris Popat
Date: Sat, 03 Oct 1992 17:53
14 lines
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Consider the statement,

         "The margin of error for this poll was +/- 3 percent."

I'd like to know what such a statement means in precise terms.  The
Chebyshev inequality allows us to make statements like, "the
probability that the measured value differs from the "true" value by
more than D, is less than P."  So does the "margin of error" here
correspond to D?  If so, what is the corresponding value of P?  Are we
supposed to assume it is some standard value, like 0.95?

Kris Popat
MIT Rm. E15-391  Cambridge, MA  02139
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From: popat@image.mit.edu (Kris Popat)
Newsgroups: sci.math.stat
Subject: margin of error
Message-ID: <POPAT.92Oct3125308@image.mit.edu>
Date: 3 Oct 92 17:53:08 GMT
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Organization: MIT Advanced Television Research Program
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