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Article #1348GETTING RID OF FALSE HYPOTHESES
From: Pentcho Valev
Date: Fri, 13 Feb 2009 07:16
Date: Fri, 13 Feb 2009 07:16
44 lines
3582 bytes
3582 bytes
Initial hypotheses (axioms, postulates), according to Karl Popper, should be "bold", which means that the prior probability that they are false is relatively high. Then Popper seems to see no way of getting rid of false postulates unless the theory as a whole is rejected because of conflict with the so-called basic statements "whose acceptance or rejection, in its turn, depends upon our decisions". Even in the presence of such a conflict however false postulates could still be saved: Popper: "On the other hand, I also realized that we must not exclude immunizations, not even all which introduce ad hoc auxiliary hypothesis....All this shows not only that some degree of dogmatism is fruitful, even in science, but also that logically speaking falsifiability or testability cannot be regarded as a very sharp criterion." In fact, unless science is to become a religion, postulates can be checked and rejected if false independently of the development of the theory. Consider the following scenario. As an observer moves towards a light source, he finds that the frequency of coming light increases with his speed (Doppler effect). The observer infers, in accordance with the formula: frequency = (speed of light)/(wavelength) that the speed of light (relative to him) also increases with his speed. So the observer discovers that Einstein's 1905 light postulate is false and rejects it. However, if science is to become a religion, the observer may not wish to reject Einstein's 1905 false light postulate. So he considers the only alternative the formula above offers: The wavelength decreases as the speed of the observer increases. If the observer is clever, he soon discovers that the varying- wavelength alternative is just as silly as the statement: The distance between trees alongside the road decreases as the speed of the car increases. From now on the clever observer will know that Einstein's 1905 light postulate is false but, since science is to become a religion, he will keep this knowledge in secret. Pentcho Valev pvalev@yahoo.com
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X-Google-Thread: 10f545,de6dea44f9e882fd,start X-Google-Thread: 10b271,de6dea44f9e882fd,start X-Google-Thread: fa4c1,de6dea44f9e882fd,start X-Google-Thread: 111645,de6dea44f9e882fd,start X-Google-Thread: f74ae,de6dea44f9e882fd,start X-Google-Attributes: gid10f545,gid10b271,gidfa4c1,gid111645,gidf74ae,domainid0,public,usenet X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!g2news1.google.com!postnews.google.com!h5g2000yqh.googlegroups.com!not-for-mail From: Pentcho Valev <pvalev@yahoo.com> Newsgroups: sci.physics.relativity,sci.physics,fr.sci.physique,fr.sci.astrophysique,sci.astro Subject: GETTING RID OF FALSE HYPOTHESES Date: Thu, 12 Feb 2009 23:16:36 -0800 (PST) Organization: http://groups.google.com Lines: 44 Message-ID: <0a95255e-b493-4490-b858-f2351881f547@h5g2000yqh.googlegroups.com> NNTP-Posting-Host: 79.100.231.46 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Trace: posting.google.com 1234509396 28750 127.0.0.1 (13 Feb 2009 07:16:36 GMT) X-Complaints-To: groups-abuse@google.com NNTP-Posting-Date: Fri, 13 Feb 2009 07:16:36 +0000 (UTC) Complaints-To: groups-abuse@google.com Injection-Info: h5g2000yqh.googlegroups.com; posting-host=79.100.231.46; posting-account=Lz-LbgoAAABPDavKeW-eYeobwLHD_cvQ User-Agent: G2/1.0 X-HTTP-UserAgent: Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; .NET CLR 2.0.50727; .NET CLR 3.0.04506.30),gzip(gfe),gzip(gfe)