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Article #5310Re: Final Question for Sylvia Else (Inability to fullfill contract)
From: Sylvia Else
Date: Sat, 18 Sep 2010 10:28
Date: Sat, 18 Sep 2010 10:28
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7620 bytes
On 18/09/2010 3:58 PM, Graham Cooper wrote: > On Sep 18, 3:47 pm, Sylvia Else<syl...@not.here.invalid> wrote: >> On 18/09/2010 2:38 PM, |-|ercules wrote: >> >> >> >> >> >>> "Richard Cornford"<Rich...@litotes.demon.co.uk> wrote ... >>>> |-|ercules wrote: >>>>> Peter Bowditch wrote >>>>>> A question was stated. You claimed to be able to "get an >>>>>> answer from God from random quotes of information". You >>>>>> did not say that the answer would be in any book, but that >>>>>> it would come "from God from random quotes of information". >>>>>> You offered no random quotes. Therefore you offered no >>>>>> answers. Therefore you failed a preliminary test and >>>>>> nothing further needed to be done. >> >>>>> For your FINAL test you have to break 1,000,000:1 odds. >> >>>>> Not sure what your preliminary requirement is but JREF >>>>> is just 1000:1 odds. >> >>>>> I.e. to pass a preliminary all I have to do is roll a 6 on >>>>> a dice 4 times. >> >>>>> To guess Barry's questions right, it would be equivalent of >>>>> selecting one single atom out of every atom in the Universe, >>>>> such are the odds. >> >>>>> Which is harder? >> >>>> Your assessment of odds seems very arbitrary. The total number of >>>> words in all the languages spoken by humans is going to be far fewer >>>> than the number of atoms in the universes. If you are asked for 10 >>>> names they will come from the total set of words. >> >>> I would still have to do 30 THIRTY correct channels running and the odds >>> are in the realm of Avagadaros number squared : 1 to be correct. >> >>> I stated I get the answers from quotes, all skeptics assume any mention >>> of 'psychic' means they can ask for lotto numbers or fail. >> >>>> Your problem here mostly stems from your inability to formulate your >>>> claim such that it precisely describes what it is that you think you >>>> can do. If you make the unqualified assertion that you can answer >>>> questions then you can expect the testing of that assertion to be >>>> cantered around the asking of questions, where the failure to answer >>>> will be taken as failing the test. >> >>>> The odds of correctly answering the questions does not come into it, >>>> until or unless you qualify your claim in such a way as to exclude >>>> questions where the odds of guessing the answer are too long, or where >>>> the odds are anything but meaningless (if the latter is what you >>>> actually want). >> >>>> For example, if you qualified your claim such that "for any question >>>> where the accuracy of any response is undeterminable (such as a >>>> 'should I do ... ?' question, where it is not possible to compare the >>>> consequences of 'doing' with those of 'not doing' as it is never >>>> possible to do both) you can generate a response, where if that >>>> response were inserted into a list of, say, 9 random quotes (genuinely >>>> randomly generated) from the same book, a minimum of 90% of ordinary >>>> humans would be able to pick out the psychically generated response >>>> from that list as the most apt/appropriate response to the question", >>>> then such a formulation would not be tested with questions that you >>>> were expected to accurately answer. Indeed test protocols for such a >>>> claim should be fairly easy to devise, and many of them would be >>>> completely acceptable 'sceptic organisations'. >> >>>> It is the vague claims that encompass things that you clearly are not >>>> capable of doing, such as 'answering questions' or 'reading minds', >>>> that are going to leave you running around in circles not being taken >>>> seriously by anyone. >> >>>> If you win a paranormal prize by being able to do what you say you can >>>> do (where what you say you can do would be paranormal) then it seems >>>> like a good idea to be very precise about what it is exactly you are >>>> saying you can do. >> >>> There is a CLAIM, and then there is a mutually worked together test >>> protocol >>> which details all the specifications and limits of the claim. >> >>> I've designed 10 TEN test protocols on my own, 2 to Sylvia's satisfaction >>> but skeptics ignore them. >> >> I remember one. Not sure about two. But it doesn't matter. You want to >> go directly from inventing a reasonable test protocol to consuming the >> time and effort of skeptics organisation members when those people could >> reasonably anticipate that you will fail and be a complete waste of >> their resources. >> >> The next step after devising a protocol is to show that you can succeed >> with it. Only when you have credible third parties who support your >> claim can you expect skeptics organisations to take notice. In the case >> of JREF, you're also required to have a media presence. >> >>> They ask for lotto numbers instead. >> >> Some do. I've yet to see the proposed answers to BigLN's questions and >> the MD5 hash of the video in which those answers were produced. >> >> Sylvia. > > > Remember Les and I broke 11:1 odds by Les correctly correlating the > answers > to the questions. > > I posted the MD5 of the answer sheet, and the password to the video at > popetoyou.com/psychictestvideo.zip What was required was that you publish the MD5 of the video beore BigLN gave his answers. Without that, it's worthless. > > I think it was > clocky dingo raven sylvia 314 > > Here's the answer sheet, you can look up where I posted the MD5 Or I can not bother. You want to make a point, you post the required links. Except that in the absence of the MD5 of the video, you have nothing. Sylvia.
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X-Google-Thread: f44bc,c689aad361b93075 X-Google-NewGroupId: yes X-Google-Thread: 102c27,c689aad361b93075 X-Google-NewGroupId: yes X-Google-Thread: 1038e3,c689aad361b93075 X-Google-NewGroupId: yes X-Google-Thread: 10a774,c689aad361b93075 X-Google-NewGroupId: yes X-Google-Attributes: giddc1377d6e,gid35c5869fd6,gidb0034e805d,gid3ac807a62f,domainid0,public,usenet X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!g2news1.google.com!news3.google.com!fu-berlin.de!uni-berlin.de!individual.net!not-for-mail From: Sylvia Else <sylvia@not.here.invalid> Newsgroups: sci.skeptic,aus.legal,misc.legal,aus.tv Subject: Re: Final Question for Sylvia Else (Inability to fullfill contract) Date: Sat, 18 Sep 2010 20:28:23 +1000 Lines: 128 Message-ID: <8fjii7Fhr4U1@mid.individual.net> References: <8fdahaFa4mU1@mid.individual.net> <8fdaraFboaU1@mid.individual.net> <8fdmijF2j6U1@mid.individual.net> <8fdrn9Ftr8U1@mid.individual.net> <8fdt99F722U1@mid.individual.net> <8fe0gdFpt5U1@mid.individual.net> <8fe6meFvqpU1@mid.individual.net> <8febmjFu75U1@mid.individual.net> <8fecanF2enU1@mid.individual.net> <ooj596t86sm70tnvd36h6l16q57745f345@4ax.com> <8fg3r4F909U1@mid.individual.net> <p786965ojgbq67g14lqqkn5d370vogin60@4ax.com> <8fgtijFm15U1@mid.individual.net> <272896tjcpl4d9grofheek5c5ge4r08vh5@4ax.com> <8fil0tFp9dU1@mid.individual.net> <z_-dnWvgLcKqoQnRnZ2dnUVZ7oadnZ2d@giganews.com> <8fiu22F3ldU1@mid.individual.net> <8fj236FmdaU1@mid.individual.net> <76465795-76ad-4a68-9513-8fbcd4d8ea49@y32g2000prc.googlegroups.com> Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Trace: individual.net FD0+avpAjkQ6k/+KnZ2nfQkBE8jMVG1o2xGWaOmRdDYdcgNeIj Cancel-Lock: sha1:RtXpHF6C+w5JlYhamOvmAkTTBfU= User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Windows; U; Windows NT 5.1; en-GB; rv:1.9.2.9) Gecko/20100825 Thunderbird/3.1.3 In-Reply-To: <76465795-76ad-4a68-9513-8fbcd4d8ea49@y32g2000prc.googlegroups.com>