Article View: sci.space.history
Article #360Re: How cool is VL2
From: bradguth
Date: Tue, 24 Apr 2007 19:13
Date: Tue, 24 Apr 2007 19:13
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15782 bytes
You nice folks have to start thinking like a combination of Warren Buffet and Bigelow for this to work, so stop anti-thinking like such a naysay wuss that can't possibly contribute a single positive consideration. You folks also need to stop asking such silly questions and instead come up with a whole lot better answers and a few of your very own better ideas, and then run off a few of those spiffy supercomputer simulations. Around this world there's at least a hundred such nifty supercomputers with all of the necessary software, that has been publicly bought and paid for, and in our case that investment has been good for having cost us several times over. So there's no valid excuse for not knowing the specific outcome of a given idea or application once given in full 3D animation, along with rich HDTV color and surround sound. Even on behalf of those pesky interstellar interactions, of accomplishing Clarke Station or of my robust LSE-CM/ISS and tether dipole that's taking the full advantage of our moon's interactive L1 has been fully simulation doable for decades. Instead, many of our best supercomputers are those busy creating "The Simpsons" and loads of other silly but eye popping entertainment whenever they're not snooping and number crunching on behalf of either spying upon us or having been excluding evidence that might otherwise share too much truth. This is not a topic for the typical naysayer or closed mindset of an official rusemaster that's continually in official denial, as well as without a speck of remorse. This VL2 outpost thing is about accomplishing lots of good stuff within the best available spec and resources, therefore it's not about our having to reinvent the wheel or otherwise exceeding the limits of well enough proven technology, or even for having to exceed the limits of our frail DNA. This relatively cool VL2 POOF City of initially 5 Bigelow Aerospace / Nautilus units is well enough within existing capability, and as such it can be configured and deployed as humanly safe enough for accommodating clients that desire or perhaps need to get as far off- world as possible for nearly 2 spendy years at a whack. On Apr 23, 8:08 pm, The Ghost In The Machine <e...@sirius.tg00suus7038.net> wrote: > The cited values were from various vendors. Deep dish > pizzas tend to have more calories; they also weigh more > and therefore cost more to boost. So what? As I'd said, the rich are only getting literally bloody richer, and then most likely these various sponsors (including them makers of Deep Dish Pizza and Beer) are going to pay big time for having their stuff onboard or in whatever way utilized, such as good old Ductape and those mega load diapers. There's at least a hundred such commercial products that could have to competitively pay for their being utilized. How's that for a business plan of compensation by just the commercial product vendor phase? > > If one assumes a 1 kg boosted into orbit, one requires 32 > megajoules just to kick it around at 8 km/s. That's $0.89 > if one assumes $0.10 per kWh, but the problem is that we > don't have real good rockets. Anyone real familiar with > the Rocket Equation: > > v_f = v_i + v_e * log(M_i/M_f) > > and with current technology (v_e = 2500 m/s) will instantly notice that > M_i/M_f gets ridiculously big -- in this case, one gets > > M_i/M_f = exp(8/2.5) = 24.5 > > so now that kg costs $21.83 to get into orbit. Not bad, but > there's an awful lot of support equipment supporting that kg. But that energy is getting dirt cheap in China and India, and I believe it's still not even a tenth the cost in Russia (no wonder they're getting so much more accomplished). >From what little I can tell, that's obviously way better launch results than is likely real-world doable, but you are correct in that a great deal R&D plus the infrastructure and continual ground support is involved in addition to the relatively inefficient energy demands of tossing stuff away from Earth, similar but far less spendy than the horrific cost of our having mutually perpetrated a cold war, of such having taken away countless lives, causing much in global inflation, diverting decades worth of invaluable opportunity, and at the same time having cost us trillions per decade. Of course now we have created yet another rather serious energy shortage, we are on the Muslim no-fly shit list, and otherwise having obtained a nasty butt load of pollution and global warming to thank for some of that foolishness. Fortunately, the inert GLOW of a given rocket w/payload isn't nearly as bad off as it used to be in that hocus-pocus cold war Saturn V era. All it takes is a little time and a healthy surplus of energy that's made into a fully fueled rocket and we're good to go. > Well do it, then; submit a business plan to a venture capitalist. What > are you hanging around here for? :-) - > Like I said...venture capitalists. A good business plan is a must. If you'd care to help, I'd certainly appreciate that effort, as I do agree that a good business plan with as little government involvement as possible is what's needed. Are your services or those of whomever we'd dare trust for hire? Unlike yourself and especially of most others in Usenet naysay land, I'm not the least bit all knowing, and I do not have those inside connections that'll kick sufficient venture capitalistic butt. In the mean time, I'm still learning and looking for those few souls capable of independently thinking, and if at all possible thinking a little outside the box becuause, that's exactly what it's going to constructively take before this is VL2 thing gets taken seriously enough. Thus far, the official NASA uplink.space.com community of damage-control spooks and moles hasn't exactly taken one positive step in the right direction, about the same as for all of the skewed side- steps and topic diversion tactics taken by those clowns in charge of promoting Usenet's role in accomplishing more of the same mainstream hypology and/or damage control. The 0.1% of Usenet that actually has an honest to god brain, other than what's between a pair of infomercial spewing butt-cheeks, is actually all that's necessary, yet the ongoing gauntlet of all that mainstream can manage to toss their infomercial flak at us, as you folks damn well know, is nearly insurmountable. - I might as well contribute the following as a final polished update, as to what took 3+ times getting posted into this silly but otherwise supposedly all-knowing usenet that yourself and most others of your kind see absolutely nothing the least bit wrong with its past, present or future of having been operating so nondisclosure or need-to-know MI/ NSA cult like. I'd posted this one three previous times, and with that effort each time getting the official GOOGLE/Usenet "Your post was successful" indication, and yet only the last one ever got into the index of my very own topic. Therefore, quite obviously we clearly have some stealth and/or robo moderation taking place, which again you folks see as nothing the least bit improper, or rather business as usual. On Apr 22, 12:16 pm, The Ghost In The Machine <e...@sirius.tg00suus7038.net> wrote: > Five? How big are each of these units, physically? How many humans > per unit? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bigelow_Aerospace Bigelow Aerospace / Nautilus (aka POOF) > > As for a 19 months supply of beer and pizza -- that sounds like quite a > bit. Assuming a rate of consumption of 2000 calories per solar day, > a single 14" cheese pizza will probably run 2290-2900, depending on > vendor, and have dimensions 14" round by maybe 1/4" -- or 2.5 liters of > pizza. Bread density is probably 0.34 g/cm^3 or 340 kg/m^3. > 19 months is about 580 days. This works out to 500 kg of pizza per > astronaut, though admittedly I'm doing a lot of handwaving. > > As for beer, 2 12 ounce cans per day might be enough. (I assume water > is recycled.) That works out to 400 liters or 400 kg of beer. Obviously you've never had a Northlake Tavern pizza, as you could easily get 4000 calories out of just one of their robust 14" pies. One of these POOFs would likely become their mess hall and pantry, plus master beer keg. Their transporter or at least their what-if OOPS! Plan-B escape craft would likely stay for the duration, so that's offering a good 6th habitat that's worth something more substantial than a given POOF. Make that 4 12 once beers/soul/day and you've got yourself a deal (plus more of whatever, if that's what it takes for attracting those big spenders). A few robotic re-supply missions (within +/- a couple of months from each nearby pass) could take care of those special orders. Remember that better than 85% of the time VL2 will remain within direct S-Band or perhaps via laser quantum/FM packet communications, therefore no possible shortage of smut from home, or that of broadcasting our POOF city reality show back to Earth. With a sufficiently tethered offset transceiver pod, or simply an orbital robotic transponder or two, there could just as easily be 100% two-way essential communications out from behind Sol (depending on the quality of such a transponder could even include a full two-way HDTV broadcasting link or two). > > > I would not be all that surprized at having to initially invest $100 > > billion, although that amount would include a great deal of secondary > > science and gateway (do-everything space depot) capability. > > > Of Russian or perhaps a China launch service should greatly minimize > > the deployment cost (not a tenth as spendy per tonne as anything > > NASA). > > The current price is $20M per human for low earth orbit > boost; this is from the Russians. If one assumes the > human is 100 kg (which is probably stretching it, but > I'm a hopeful sort and weigh about 100 kg :-) ) ) that's > $200,000/kg. There's a 10 fold profit margin built into that Russian $20M/human. Them tricky Russians were always the smart ones about doing nifty sorts of stuff in space related matters, wernt they. Besides, it's looking good that China or perhaps India will likely get their wholesale VL2 deployment net cost down to well below $10,000/kg for all that's inert(w/o DNA), and perhaps not much worse off than $20,000/kg on behalf of whatever human cargo (+ pizza and beer). Therefore, even at the usual 10 fold mark up, it's doable. Remember that it's not just the lower cost of their energy, but the availability that's worth more than anything NASA or any other US governmental agency has at their disposal. In other words, the USofA is nearly energy broke, other than our having to burn the spendy imported forms of energy. > > Since escape velocity requires twice as much energy as low earth orbit, > one has to double it to $400,000/kg, and possibly double it twice > more (he has to get there and back, after all), to $1.6M/kg. This > works out to $1.6B per human per trip, all supplies considered. I think is more like something better than an extra 2.65 fold as much required for getting away from LEO, that is unless you've got nothing but time on your hands, plus enough rad-hard DNA for that pesky trek through them Van Allen badlands, but then so what? For some it'll only be a one-way ticket to ride, and the rich are clearly only getting a whole lot richer, arnt they. > > > A total of perhaps 6 missions should accomplish the task, with the 6th > > mission including those first of 10 clients that'll pay $100 million > > each for their one way (nonrefundable) ticket. > > > There would be commercial and scientific sponsors picking up nearly if > > not better than 50% of the initial outlay plus operational tab. Those > > five POOFs could accommodate as many as 20 clients, plus a small crew > > of perhaps not more than five. > > OK. So who's going to come up with the initial investment? As I'd said, any number of commercial sponsors (including an eye popping TV reality show), of various scientific backings, plus all the loot we can get away with charging our crazy but otherwise rich ENRON/ Exxon or fat old and stinking oil rich Dick Cheney clients. For the $100 billion kick start, we could take out a World Bank advance as based entirely upon my good faith IOU. Compared to our resident LLPOF warlord(GW Bush) that has been getting his dirty born-again hands on nearly countless hundreds of billions (along with all the collateral damage and 650,000+ dead Muslims to prove it), whereas I'm more than worth it and a whole lot less lethal, how about yourself? I'd also start selling off shares in Venus futures, intended for sharing in whatever interplanetary commerce, that which might just as likely evolve and come to depend upon our VL2 POOF city as their go between pitstop or gateway. VL2 should also remain out of range of whatever Venusian SAMs or rather beyond their rigid airship to satellite terminating capability, although I'd still like having a few TRW/Raytheon class of ABL cannons at POOF city's disposal, because you never know when our next resident LLPOF warlord is going postal by way of accusing those nice Venusian Muslims or perhaps Cathar sleeper cells of having WMD, especially if there's oil or that of a nearly unlimited cache of 90 proof yellowcake to being had. - Brad Guth
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X-Google-Thread: 107d29,b6dd08ffb8cd6995 X-Google-Thread: 10b271,b6dd08ffb8cd6995 X-Google-Thread: f74ae,b6dd08ffb8cd6995 X-Google-Thread: 102f53,6d83b219cc200d61 X-Google-Attributes: gid107d29,gid10b271,gidf74ae,gid102f53,public X-Google-Language: ENGLISH,ASCII-7-bit Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!g2news1.google.com!postnews.google.com!n35g2000prd.googlegroups.com!not-for-mail From: bradguth@gmail.com Newsgroups: sci.space.history,sci.physics,sci.astro,cam.misc Subject: Re: How cool is VL2 Date: 24 Apr 2007 12:13:47 -0700 Organization: http://groups.google.com Lines: 258 Message-ID: <1177442027.506509.17950@n35g2000prd.googlegroups.com> References: <phineaspuddleduck-3F20D9.00244216042007@news.octanews.com> <1176852110.759632.259020@q75g2000hsh.googlegroups.com> <GOidnTvbaIam-bvbnZ2dnUVZ8sylnZ2d@pipex.net> <1176932915.314382.278450@y5g2000hsa.googlegroups.com> <W4-dnXs5UN2dN7rbnZ2dnUVZ8tDinZ2d@pipex.net> <1177028949.098690.104990@q75g2000hsh.googlegroups.com> <pqCdnd0gNJwiTbXbnZ2dnUVZ8vydnZ2d@pipex.net> <1177093740.994927.89230@y5g2000hsa.googlegroups.com> <nqudnemMRP37lLTbnZ2dnUVZ8ternZ2d@pipex.net> <1177098389.271820.227850@b58g2000hsg.googlegroups.com> <IdGdnX8fOOLzv7TbRVnytAA@pipex.net> <1177216210.449469.86000@b58g2000hsg.googlegroups.com> <9rbrf4-avg.ln1@sirius.tg00suus7038.net> <1177249079.855878.218760@q75g2000hsh.googlegroups.com> <8tosf4-5d1.ln1@sirius.tg00suus7038.net> <1177355292.043961.320550@o5g2000hsb.googlegroups.com> <mt80g4-uop.ln1@sirius.tg00suus7038.net> NNTP-Posting-Host: 64.91.99.182 Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" X-Trace: posting.google.com 1177442035 6085 127.0.0.1 (24 Apr 2007 19:13:55 GMT) X-Complaints-To: groups-abuse@google.com NNTP-Posting-Date: Tue, 24 Apr 2007 19:13:55 +0000 (UTC) In-Reply-To: <mt80g4-uop.ln1@sirius.tg00suus7038.net> User-Agent: G2/1.0 X-HTTP-UserAgent: Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; MSN 2.5; Windows 98; T312461),gzip(gfe),gzip(gfe) Complaints-To: groups-abuse@google.com Injection-Info: n35g2000prd.googlegroups.com; posting-host=64.91.99.182; posting-account=zEXP4w0AAAAJ5s7atsfc5JlL--hpDELy