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Started by Cary Oler
Wed, 27 Jan 1993 07:01
Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 26 January
Author: Cary Oler
Date: Wed, 27 Jan 1993 07:01
Date: Wed, 27 Jan 1993 07:01
118 lines
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5459 bytes
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
26 JANUARY, 1993
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 26 JANUARY, 1993
-----------------------------------------------------------
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 026, 01/26/93
10.7 FLUX=106.5 90-AVG=137 SSN=060 BKI=4444 4332 BAI=021
BGND-XRAY=B2.3 FLU1=3.1E+05 FLU10=1.0E+04 PKI=4444 4332 PAI=019
BOU-DEV=055,046,068,057,050,031,021,015 DEV-AVG=042 NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B4.7 @ 2348UT XRAY-MIN= B1.6 @ 0415UT XRAY-AVG= B2.7
NEUTN-MAX= +001% @ 2000UT NEUTN-MIN= -003% @ 2355UT NEUTN-AVG= -1.0%
PCA-MAX= +2.3DB @ 1755UT PCA-MIN= -0.3DB @ 0845UT PCA-AVG= +0.1DB
BOUTF-MAX=55419NT @ 0329UT BOUTF-MIN=55387NT @ 1959UT BOUTF-AVG=55405NT
GOES7-MAX=P:+100NT@ 2036UT GOES7-MIN=E:-034NT@ 0119UT G7-AVG=+064,+030,+006
GOES6-MAX=P:+120NT@ 1647UT GOES6-MIN=E:-009NT@ 0116UT G6-AVG=+080,+007,+046
FLUXFCST=STD:110,115,120;SESC:110,115,120 BAI/PAI-FCST=020,015,010/020,015,015
KFCST=3335 6222 2222 4522 27DAY-AP=042,010 27DAY-KP=5565 5533 2323 3211
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred
during the past day. A fifteen degree section of filament,
centered near S45W00, disappeared sometime between 25/2300Z
and 26/1100Z. This eruption was not observed optically.
Operators of the Yohkoh soft x-ray telescope report a possible
post-eruption signature of bright cusp-shaped structures.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be
very low. A general trend towards increased activity is expected
over the next few days as new regions rotate into view at the
southeast limb.
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active at middle
latitudes and active to storm at high latitudes. The most
disturbed periods occurred from 26/0900-1500Z.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active becoming quiet to unsettled.
Event probabilities 27 jan-29 jan
Class M 01/01/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 jan-29 jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 45/40/35
Minor Storm 20/15/15
Major-Severe Storm 10/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/25/15
Minor Storm 45/35/25
Major-Severe Storm 15/15/20
HF propagation conditions began the day below normal over
the polar, high, and upper middle latitudes due to enhanced
levels of geomagnetic and auroral activity. The lower middle
and low latitude paths remained near-normal throughout the
period. Conditions are expected to slowly improve over the
next 72 hours to near-normal.
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SESC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
========================================================
REGIONS WITH SUNSPOTS. LOCATIONS VALID AT 26/2400Z JANUARY
----------------------------------------------------------
NMBR LOCATION LO AREA Z LL NN MAG TYPE
7403 N15W76 358 0150 HSX 02 001 ALPHA
7406 S13W26 308 0070 CSO 06 003 BETA
7407 S07E07 275 0000 AXX 01 002 ALPHA
7408 N09W91 013 0000 AXX 00 001 ALPHA
7409 N18W35 317 0010 BXO 05 003 BETA
7410 S20W28 310 PLAGE
REGIONS DUE TO RETURN 27 JANUARY TO 29 JANUARY
NMBR LAT LO
7386 S05 183
7394 S16 178
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 26 JANUARY, 1993
------------------------------------------------------
BEGIN MAX END RGN LOC XRAY OP 245MHZ 10CM SWEEP SWF
NO EVENTS OBSERVED
POSSIBLE CORONAL MASS EJECTION EVENTS FOR 26 JANUARY, 1993
----------------------------------------------------------
BEGIN MAX END LOCATION TYPE SIZE DUR II IV
26/B1136 A1421 N02E27 DSF
INFERRED CORONAL HOLES. LOCATIONS VALID AT 26/2400Z
---------------------------------------------------
ISOLATED HOLES AND POLAR EXTENSIONS
EAST SOUTH WEST NORTH CAR TYPE POL AREA OBSN
NO DATA AVAILABLE FOR ANALYSIS
** End of Daily Report **
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