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Article #55

Re: re HRMS for ETI

#55
From: H. Evans (WMA)
Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1992 09:52
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From what I remember of the course in Measurment, Error and Truth,
the probability (as measured) of intelligent life forming on another 
planet is 1 (with an error of 1).  Not much of a help, but we have only measured
one instance of intelligent life forming (and that is disputable :-)).
Of course, if evidence of life is found, then the error in the measurement will 
decrease to 1/sqrt(n).

Any attempts to pin down the probability more than this is idle speculation but
fun.

Hugh.

P.s. if you put an infinite number of monkeys on an infinite number of planets...
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References: <BwM382.LqD.1@cs.cmu.edu> <BwnEtB.FGq@zoo.toronto.edu> <STEINLY.92Oct26163921@topaz.ucsc.edu>

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Newsgroups: sci.space
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!mcsun!sun4nl!estwmz.wm.estec.esa.nl!hevans
From: hevans@wm.estec.esa.nl (H. Evans (WMA))
Subject: Re: re HRMS for ETI
Message-ID: <Bwtsqv.JHr@wm.estec.esa.nl>
Sender: news@wm.estec.esa.nl
Organization: ESA/Estec/WMS, Noordwijk, The Netherlands
References: <BwM382.LqD.1@cs.cmu.edu> <BwnEtB.FGq@zoo.toronto.edu> <STEINLY.92Oct26163921@topaz.ucsc.edu>
Date: Wed, 28 Oct 1992 09:52:06 GMT
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