Article View: sci.space
Article #6545Re: Stupid Shut Cost arguements (was Re: Terminal Velocity
From: Brian Stuart Thorn
Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1992 05:38
Date: Tue, 29 Dec 1992 05:38
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>However, if you disagree, please post your own numbers. State the rules
>you want to use and apply to both systems fairly. Then show that Shuttle
>is better.
>
>I await your reply.
>
> allen
Now I'm totally confused, Allen. Wasn't this discussion about the
Shuttle's launch rate? I thought that you previously belittled a
25% increase in launch rate, to which I took exception. It was this
dual-scale measuring (one for Shuttle, one for the others) that I
am complaining about. I'm still waiting for your explanation as to
why 25% is a good increase for one, but not another.
And by the way, I don't seem to be alone in the opinion that 12 per
year is a more likely maximum safe launch rate. That's a 50% increase.
Hopefully, the next few months will prove that they can launch
monthly if they wanted and politics permitted.
In any case, since Shuttle is the only U.S. system flying that can take
people to and from space, and is the only system presently capable
of returning 30,000+ lbs. of cargo, it is very difficult to compare
Shuttle with the expendables (although I think it compares favorably
to Titan IV in terms of annual costs versus annual launch rate.) All
ratings show Shuttle to be the most powerful launch system in the
free world. Depending upon whom you ask, it's either alot more capable
than Titan, or just a little.
Only the DC is presently envisioned to have more or less the same
attributes as Shuttle, and we both know there is no way Shuttle can
ever compare favorably to a paper launch system. Pegasus was new and
revolutionary too, and it has spent the past eighteen months sitting
in an assembly plant. TSS was new and revolutionary, but was brought
to its knees by a mislocated bolt. Titan IV was a relatively low-level
expansion of current technology, but was a year late off the pad and
has flown at a rate one-fourth of the proposed schedule. GD did a
relatively minor design change on the Centaur to accomodate greater
payload, and it has since failed in flight twice. Shuttle has had all
these problems, and more. Gary and I say similar bugs will afflict
the DC program, but you tell us not to worry and then call us
pessimists. Hmph.
-Brian
P.S., Sorry about the multiple posts of my previous message in this
thread. PortalX crapped out on me in the middle of message uploading.
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Brian S. Thorn "If ignorance is bliss,
BrianT@cup.portal.com this must be heaven."
-Diane Chambers, "Cheers"
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Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!portal!cup.portal.com!BrianT From: BrianT@cup.portal.com (Brian Stuart Thorn) Newsgroups: sci.space Subject: Re: Stupid Shut Cost arguements (was Re: Terminal Velocity Message-ID: <72526@cup.portal.com> Date: Mon, 28 Dec 92 21:38:08 PST Organization: The Portal System (TM) References: <72332@cup.portal.com> <1992Dec27.204310.21837@iti.org> <72482@cup.portal.com> <1992Dec28.154624.1000@iti.org> Lines: 53