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Article #6711Re: DC cost estimates
From: Allen W. Sherzer
Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1992 22:35
Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1992 22:35
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In article <C04M9F.58D.1@cs.cmu.edu> roberts@cmr.ncsl.nist.gov (John Roberts) writes: >Allen generally takes projected "worst-case" cost estimates for DC >and multiplies them by two or more in making his calculations, which >I think shows he is aware of the problem. Actually, I doubled the estimates I have seen. They are more likely to be the reasonable estimates and not 'worst-case' estimates. >I should make one additional point regarding Allen's calculations - they >don't include the large opportunity cost if the Shuttle program should >be cancelled before DC is fully operational I con't follow this. It seems to me that if Shuttle is cancled it could more than double the market for DC flights. This could roughly cut DC costs in half. Allen -- +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Allen W. Sherzer | "A great man is one who does nothing but leaves | | aws@iti.org | nothing undone" | +----------------------114 DAYS TO FIRST FLIGHT OF DCX----------------------+
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Newsgroups: sci.space Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!hela.iti.org!aws From: aws@iti.org (Allen W. Sherzer) Subject: Re: DC cost estimates Message-ID: <1992Dec31.223517.18578@iti.org> Organization: Evil Geniuses for a Better Tomorrow References: <C04M9F.58D.1@cs.cmu.edu> Distribution: sci Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1992 22:35:17 GMT Lines: 24