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Article #6711

Re: DC cost estimates

#6711
From: Allen W. Sherzer
Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1992 22:35
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In article <C04M9F.58D.1@cs.cmu.edu> roberts@cmr.ncsl.nist.gov (John Roberts) writes:

>Allen generally takes projected "worst-case" cost estimates for DC
>and multiplies them by two or more in making his calculations, which
>I think shows he is aware of the problem. 

Actually, I doubled the estimates I have seen. They are more likely to
be the reasonable estimates and not 'worst-case' estimates.


>I should make one additional point regarding Allen's calculations - they
>don't include the large opportunity cost if the Shuttle program should
>be cancelled before DC is fully operational 

I con't follow this. It seems to me that if Shuttle is cancled it could
more than double the market for DC flights. This could roughly cut DC
costs in half.

  Allen
-- 
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Allen W. Sherzer | "A great man is one who does nothing but leaves        |
|  aws@iti.org     |  nothing undone"                                       |
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Message-ID: <1992Dec31.223517.18578@iti.org>
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!hela.iti.org!aws
References: <C04M9F.58D.1@cs.cmu.edu>

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Newsgroups: sci.space
Path: arc1-ca.pugleaf.net!sparky!uunet!hela.iti.org!aws
From: aws@iti.org (Allen W. Sherzer)
Subject: Re: DC cost estimates
Message-ID: <1992Dec31.223517.18578@iti.org>
Organization: Evil Geniuses for a Better Tomorrow
References: <C04M9F.58D.1@cs.cmu.edu>
Distribution: sci
Date: Thu, 31 Dec 1992 22:35:17 GMT
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